orac07
0x81ca49ad9806de2d92782b873bfa7fe051943b87
- Realised P&L
- $34.2k
- Volume
- $275.4k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $380.77
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.1kat 0.110Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$7.6kat 0.208Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
- +$5.8kat 0.081Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$5.6kat 0.118Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$3.5kat 0.759Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 18:39 | Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2540396446 | $37.17 |
| 10-13 18:39 | Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.2156329193 | $110.07 |
| 09-28 18:01 | Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 09-27 22:13 | Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.423 | $2.11 |
| 09-27 22:13 | Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.4386497696 | $11.42 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1011480066 | $330.83 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.2115341224 | $112.24 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0779385754 | $496.02 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.78416271 | $625.94 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1928691731 | $202.12 |
| 09-22 19:03 | Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $22.40 |
| 09-22 19:00 | Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.5048147112 | $36.10 |
| 09-11 21:18 | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1518700124 | $121.23 |
| 09-11 21:18 | Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1548179777 | $31.73 |
| 09-05 17:04 | Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.2616005691 | $73.55 |