df4d8fa4sdf5
0x53b933bec5f65d5363ee1041050d265517964b3d
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $59.6k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $613.23
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$388.55at 0.212Will Warsh say "Prediction" or "Predictive" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$282.10at 0.547Will Andy Burnham say "Police" during the next PMQ?
- +$235.17at 0.285Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$195.15at 0.111Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$148.67at 0.456Will Trump say "Google" or "Alphabet" in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 19:10 | Will Zach McKinstry win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award? | SELL | 0.31 | $11.63 |
| 10-01 18:29 | Will Zach McKinstry win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award? | SELL | 0.35 | $13.20 |
| 10-01 13:27 | Will Zach McKinstry win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award? | SELL | 0.25 | $16.16 |
| 10-01 03:48 | Will Zach McKinstry win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award? | BUY | 0.08 | $30.07 |
| 10-01 02:52 | Will Christian Walker win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award? | SELL | 0.8577566042 | $340.29 |
| 10-01 02:42 | Will Zach McKinstry win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award? | SELL | 0.9444444444 | $85.00 |
| 10-01 02:17 | Will Christian Walker win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award? | BUY | 0.8210117647 | $348.93 |
| 10-01 02:16 | Will Zach McKinstry win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award? | SELL | 0.95 | $27.55 |
| 10-01 02:14 | Will Zach McKinstry win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award? | BUY | 0.785994832 | $304.18 |
| 09-29 23:17 | Screwworm National Emergency declared by December 31? | SELL | 0.182808831 | $32.54 |
| 09-26 14:04 | Screwworm National Emergency declared by December 31? | BUY | 0.0818950437 | $5.62 |
| 09-23 22:54 | Screwworm National Emergency declared by December 31? | SELL | 0.1832530904 | $112.66 |
| 09-23 19:05 | Screwworm National Emergency declared by December 31? | SELL | 0.2541858564 | $90.18 |
| 09-23 17:26 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $100.97 |
| 09-23 13:49 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027? | SELL | 0.34 | $34.00 |