0x55264396aB866F4871bBC7Fda2559CB917F47380-1776876588771
0x2fd7cfe4a6148038ee26846b799ac6be96eb6b97
- Realised P&L
- $-10.93
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $125.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.480 | $47.99 | +$37.99 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.709 | $28.36 | +$23.28 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.475 | $19.00 | +$12.60 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.475 | $11.92 | +$9.41 |
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.360 | $10.56 | −$0.88 |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.395 | $7.90 | +$4.30 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.84at 0.420Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.369Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
- +$-0.81at 0.326Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
- +$-1.92at 0.570Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
- +$-2.69at 0.369Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 20:06 | Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.40 |
| 09-30 20:06 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 20:06 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.127 | $5.08 |
| 09-30 20:06 | Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.39 | $11.44 |
| 09-30 20:06 | Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.51 |
| 09-30 20:06 | Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 09-26 13:27 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $8.93 |
| 09-25 11:18 | Will Xiaomi have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-24 02:28 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.88 |
| 09-22 16:20 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.34 |
| 09-22 00:01 | Will Xiaomi have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.87 |
| 09-21 21:08 | Will Xiaomi have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.67 |
| 09-21 21:00 | Will Xiaomi have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.51 |
| 09-21 20:58 | Will Xiaomi have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.21 |
| 09-21 20:58 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.317 | $5.84 |