Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-07-01
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.18. down 0.10 over the period, from 0.28. Range 0.10 to 0.47. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.19	587	587
0.20	406	993
0.21	145	1,138
0.23	7	1,145
0.24	51	1,196
0.26	11	1,207
0.27	10	1,217
0.28	80	1,297
0.30	100	1,397
0.58	40	1,437
0.59	446	1,883
0.79	5	1,888

Spread0.01Mid0.18

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.18	826	826
0.17	714	1,540
0.16	297	1,837
0.15	524	2,361
0.14	20	2,381
0.13	341	2,722
0.12	120	2,842
0.11	73	2,915
0.10	51	2,966
0.09	39	3,005
0.07	78	3,082
0.06	83	3,166

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.82	826	826
0.83	714	1,540
0.84	297	1,837
0.85	524	2,361
0.86	20	2,381
0.87	341	2,722
0.88	120	2,842
0.89	73	2,915
0.90	51	2,966
0.91	39	3,005
0.93	78	3,082
0.94	83	3,166

Spread0.01Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.81	587	587
0.80	406	993
0.79	145	1,138
0.77	7	1,145
0.76	51	1,196
0.74	11	1,207
0.73	10	1,217
0.72	80	1,297
0.70	100	1,397
0.42	40	1,437
0.41	446	1,883
0.21	5	1,888

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
BigMackyG	Yes	1,552.66
SnapElectionAvoider	Yes	789.2
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	473.76
ithinkthisisgod	Yes	434
chessplayer	Yes	287.58
rocky42013	Yes	252.58
WaterFloww	Yes	100
0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190	Yes	80
0xDbBFAEA6763c8Fc9C3Ea2bb27a61ba29b7D0Fb9F-1740101888127	Yes	62.5
thecaricature	Yes	49.99
Juzy	Yes	40
iutwpfal	Yes	34
0xe583c8379ea6ff17d2347b7f25b8ad6d077681e6-1792798935647	Yes	31.83
braindance	Yes	30
0x8337…1889	Yes	30
tiongbu	Yes	20.1
BOOST250	Yes	20
GuyFromTinder	Yes	17
ronov3	Yes	13.59
omnibus-424779	Yes	10.56

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:23:36	SELL	Yes	0.18	17	$3.06
15:40:00	SELL	Yes	0.18	1	$0.18
12:20:37	BUY	No	0.83	12	$9.96
12:16:52	BUY	Yes	0.22	8	$1.76
12:16:52	SELL	No	0.79	30	$23.70
12:13:42	SELL	No	0.79	0	$0.09
12:13:39	SELL	Yes	0.1976666667	348	$68.79
12:13:39	BUY	No	0.864524672	20	$17.40
12:09:22	BUY	No	0.7799999905	8	$6.55
12:07:24	SELL	No	0.7554744526	55	$41.40
12:06:48	BUY	No	0.79	20	$15.80
12:06:43	BUY	Yes	0.1769742489	373	$65.98
05:04:12	BUY	No	0.8599999634	20	$17.40
05:04:12	SELL	Yes	0.1493283582	21	$3.20
02:35:48	BUY	Yes	0.17	37	$6.29
23:38:40	BUY	No	0.81	37	$29.97
23:38:21	SELL	Yes	0.2	24	$4.76
23:02:07	SELL	No	0.77	20	$15.40
21:48:03	BUY	No	0.7658474142	20	$14.96
21:11:07	BUY	Yes	0.2699999704	8	$2.19
21:11:07	BUY	Yes	0.2166666667	30	$6.50
21:11:07	SELL	No	0.794	100	$79.40
21:11:07	BUY	Yes	0.2099999962	31	$6.60
15:07:46	BUY	No	0.78	20	$15.60
14:54:28	SELL	No	0.78	10	$7.80