PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe583c8379ea6ff17d2347b7f25b8ad6d077681e6-1792798935647

0xe583c8379ea6ff17d2347b7f25b8ad6d077681e6

Realised P&L
$-177.48
Volume
$31.8k
Markets traded
339
Open portfolio
$445.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded339
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · No0.3800.675$19.52+$8.53
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3500.375$17.66+$1.18
Will Payton Pritchard win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year? · Yes0.3210.462$14.38+$4.38
Will Aaron Jones have 1,024.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.4800.600$13.39+$2.68
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? · No0.3470.423$13.38+$2.39
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? · No0.3480.475$12.98+$3.46
Will the Samsung Lions win the 2026 Korean Series? · Yes0.2500.325$12.53+$2.89
Will Jared Goff have 4,349.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4900.600$11.94+$2.19
Will Josh Allen have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.4800.540$10.96+$1.22
Will Josh Allen have 3,849.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.4800.535$10.86+$1.12
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? · No0.4480.275$10.66−$6.70
Will Christian McCaffrey have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4200.425$9.83+$0.12
Will the Anaheim Ducks record 90+ points? · No0.5500.550$9.77+$0.00
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0320.032$9.70+$0.00
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026? · No0.0700.120$8.97+$3.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 03:20Will CF América vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?BUY0.2600552371$5.23
10-29 03:11Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.8$5.23
10-29 02:45Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.6199999905$5.23
10-29 02:10Austin FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5BUY0.6899999723$5.23
10-29 02:08Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.2971590909$5.23
10-29 02:00Will FC Dallas win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.6999999732$5.23
10-29 01:48Will Austin FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?BUY0.7399999859$5.23
10-29 01:47Minnesota United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5BUY0.64$5.23
10-29 01:26Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.469999982$5.23
10-29 01:01Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.5899999853$5.23
10-29 00:54Chicago Fire FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5BUY0.8$5.23
10-29 00:22Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.6699999705$5.23
10-29 00:22Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.75$5.23
10-29 00:03Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.5799999601$5.23
10-28 23:31Wizards vs. CavaliersBUY0.7599999889$5.49