PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xDbBFAEA6763c8Fc9C3Ea2bb27a61ba29b7D0Fb9F-1740101888127

0xdbbfaea6763c8fc9c3ea2bb27a61ba29b7d0fb9f

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$54.0k
Markets traded
1,730
Open portfolio
$835.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,730
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Patriots vs. Dolphins · Patriots0.6710.575$102.75−$17.25
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0090.013$75.00+$25.01
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6000.545$36.33−$3.67
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas? · Yes0.0050.004$36.00−$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 1? · No0.7500.995$26.52+$6.52
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m? · Yes0.8400.986$23.46+$3.46
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on November 1? · No0.8991.000$22.24+$2.24
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9000.960$21.32+$1.32
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026? · Yes0.8990.880$19.58−$0.42
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 2? · No0.8450.839$19.57−$0.14
Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m? · Yes0.9000.871$19.36−$0.64
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? · Yes0.0070.006$18.57−$1.43
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6400.635$17.86−$0.14
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0090.015$16.11+$6.11
Will the Republican Party win the IL-16 House seat? · Yes0.9630.969$13.81+$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:18Will Meta (META) close above $630 on November 2?BUY0.8799999881$5.90
11-01 23:18Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on November 2?BUY0.8699999983$5.00
11-01 23:18Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on November 2?BUY0.9$5.39
11-01 23:18Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on November 2?BUY0.9$5.54
11-01 23:18S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on November 2?BUY0.9$5.00
11-01 23:18Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on November 2?BUY0.8299999841$6.28
11-01 23:16Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.64$18.00
11-01 23:01Celtics vs. MagicSELL0.999$67.25
11-01 23:01Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 204.5SELL0.97$141.35
11-01 22:30Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 204.5BUY0.4699999988$50.00
11-01 22:30Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?SELL0.991$24.77
11-01 22:30Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?SELL0.998$24.89
11-01 22:27Patriots vs. DolphinsBUY0.6199999989$70.00
11-01 22:24Patriots Team Total: O/U 20.5SELL0.28$32.46
11-01 21:54Patriots Team Total: O/U 26.5SELL0.38$35.85