PolyBot

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Traders

WaterFloww

0x5040b5e76b45aeff6ccbb21b1aad0ccc2fa296cf

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$472.8k
Markets traded
2,036
Open portfolio
$852.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,036
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · No0.9490.953$138.37+$0.58
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8300.895$89.50+$6.50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8300.895$89.50+$6.50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.1960.185$64.75$3.75
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4400.595$59.50+$15.50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0650.095$38.00+$12.00
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · Yes0.2080.215$34.40+$1.07
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yes0.2840.195$33.15$15.15
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.215$32.25$3.75
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.145$29.00$13.00
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9590.959$28.75$0.01
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2670.155$23.25$16.75
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · Yes0.0240.025$22.22+$0.45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.2000.100$20.00$20.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1200.095$19.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 11:59Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.52$23.40
09-18 11:46Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.06$12.00
09-18 11:44Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.42$10.92
09-18 11:22Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?SELL0.003$0.60
09-17 18:34Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.08$12.00
09-17 17:40Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?SELL0.67$6.70
09-17 17:38Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 19?SELL0.59$2.95
09-17 17:38Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 18?SELL0.61$9.15
09-17 17:38Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 18?SELL0.62$3.10
09-17 17:31Will White House post 200+ posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.01$0.29
09-17 15:33Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?BUY0.07$10.50
09-17 15:26Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?SELL0.0042678287$0.43
09-17 15:01Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 19?BUY0.2$1.00
09-17 14:49Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 18?BUY0.5$10.00
09-17 14:36Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.07$17.50