RuggedByMyself
0x5040b5e76b45aeff6ccbb21b1aad0ccc2fa296cf
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $406.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,881
- Open portfolio
- $523.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,881
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$580.00at 0.330U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$497.20at 0.500Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$434.95at 0.015Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$328.40at 0.951US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$254.01at 0.073Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.02390198 | $11.95 |
| 08-02 21:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2837388 | $28.37 |
| 08-02 21:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.035 | $0.93 |
| 08-02 21:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.035 | $10.50 |
| 08-02 21:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 05:51 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $216.00 |
| 08-02 04:37 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.026 | $3.90 |
| 08-02 04:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $55.00 |
| 08-01 21:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 21:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $25.00 |
| 08-01 20:55 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.79 |
| 08-01 20:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $31.70 |
| 08-01 19:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 08-01 19:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $42.46 |
| 08-01 19:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |