PolyBot

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Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. down 0.014 over the period, from 0.017. Range 0.003 to 0.019. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.003430430
0.005365795
0.0062,8983,693
0.0071,2764,969
0.0092,0887,057
0.0102,0009,057
0.0114109,467
0.0122959,762
0.01334410,106
0.01940010,506
0.0211,86112,367
0.02299413,361

Spread0.001Mid0.003

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0029,5829,582
0.00178,63488,216

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9989,5829,582
0.99978,63488,216

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.997430430
0.995365795
0.9942,8983,693
0.9931,2764,969
0.9912,0887,057
0.9902,0009,057
0.9894109,467
0.9882959,762
0.98734410,106
0.98140010,506
0.9791,86112,367
0.97899413,361

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
99problems123Yes48,209.88
seal7Yes35,290.29
Mac-GyverYes28,420.34
InterestingUserYes10,816.08
0x8542adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7bYes9,999.97
fiterYes7,735.83
Contentious-DinnerdateYes7,376.14
borntoolate.ethYes6,885.48
p0099Yes6,008.08
GollumGekkoYes5,565.79
grandvaliraYes5,396.09
anoin123Yes5,252
coolxeoYes4,397.04
kl1vYes3,808.5
krokoYes3,616.1
JucyYes3,364.49
lightsout912Yes3,126.85
ithinkthisisgodYes3,000
dontshowmynameYes2,999.96
Rr55Yes2,819.98

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:01:29SELLNo0.997240$239.28
17:31:37BUYNo0.9985$4.65
17:27:37BUYNo0.9988$7.98
17:27:35BUYNo0.9988$7.98
17:27:35BUYNo0.99824$23.95
17:27:19BUYNo0.99824$23.95
17:27:19BUYNo0.9988$7.98
17:27:19BUYNo0.9988$7.98
17:26:56BUYNo0.9988$7.98
17:26:56BUYNo0.99824$23.95
17:26:56BUYNo0.9988$7.98
17:26:25BUYNo0.9988$7.98
17:26:23BUYNo0.99832$31.94
17:25:47BUYNo0.99816$15.97
17:25:47BUYNo0.9988$7.98
17:25:47BUYNo0.9988$7.98
17:25:47BUYNo0.9988$7.98
17:16:07BUYNo0.99887$86.34
16:36:07SELLYes0.0020$0.00
16:08:32BUYNo0.998601$600.00
14:51:22BUYNo0.9983$2.80
11:00:07BUYNo0.99813$12.90
10:39:22BUYNo0.9986$5.90
10:26:37BUYNo0.998275$274.20
10:23:50BUYNo0.998500$499.00