kroko
0xf8ccc51356ad11e3d884f4beeaca81bb08fe028a
- Realised P&L
- $43.6k
- Volume
- $40.20M
- Markets traded
- 6,525
- Open portfolio
- $28.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,525
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$643.90at 0.006Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
- +$403.77at 0.001Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$387.44at 0.112Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds?
- +$382.05at 0.004Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$333.06at 0.007Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 20:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April? | BUY | 0.017 | $1.85 |
| 04-28 20:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April? | BUY | 0.015 | $2.25 |
| 04-22 06:10 | Will Drake’s ice sculpture contain the album’s release date? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.99 |
| 03-29 21:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | BUY | 0.008 | $6.00 |
| 03-28 15:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 03-28 12:38 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.40 |
| 03-28 07:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.01 |
| 03-26 02:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.08 |
| 03-16 00:11 | Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 03-16 00:06 | Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 03-15 23:39 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.06 | $4.44 |
| 03-15 23:33 | Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.30 |
| 03-15 23:32 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.033 | $0.24 |
| 03-15 23:21 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.035 | $4.00 |
| 03-15 22:40 | Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.20 |