PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

kroko

0xf8ccc51356ad11e3d884f4beeaca81bb08fe028a

Realised P&L
$43.6k
Volume
$40.20M
Markets traded
6,525
Open portfolio
$28.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,525
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.0510.042$4.90$1.07
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$4.50+$0.00
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0040.004$2.79$0.40
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.1510.105$2.74$1.19
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.1130.060$2.19$1.94
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes0.0020.003$2.17+$0.43
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.0500.100$2.10+$1.05
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes0.0070.007$1.99+$0.17
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$1.73$1.73
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.0380.017$1.19$1.47
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$0.63$1.86
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? · Yes0.3300.105$0.29$0.63
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.28$0.28
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.25$0.25
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$0.21$1.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-28 20:43Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?BUY0.017$1.85
04-28 20:38Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?BUY0.015$2.25
04-22 06:10Will Drake’s ice sculpture contain the album’s release date?BUY0.011$0.99
03-29 21:31Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?BUY0.008$6.00
03-28 15:32Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?BUY0.007$1.00
03-28 12:38Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?BUY0.004$2.40
03-28 07:03Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?BUY0.005$1.01
03-26 02:06Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?BUY0.004$1.08
03-16 00:11Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.001$0.01
03-16 00:06Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.001$0.01
03-15 23:39Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.06$4.44
03-15 23:33Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.006$0.30
03-15 23:32Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.033$0.24
03-15 23:21Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.035$4.00
03-15 22:40Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.001$0.20