99problems123
0x00425c692a667981118f679ef68fdc775257321e
- Realised P&L
- $12.9k
- Volume
- $17.84M
- Markets traded
- 357
- Open portfolio
- $46.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded357
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.4kat 0.625US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$57.9kat 0.993US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$44.5kat 0.226US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$36.0kat 0.433US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$22.1kat 0.824Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 13:54 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.027154278 | $50.30 |
| 07-31 03:24 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4282790953 | $241.63 |
| 07-29 17:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.757 | $22.79 |
| 07-27 04:20 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $71.54 |
| 07-14 20:23 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.0944250019 | $679.37 |
| 07-12 23:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.212 | $217.30 |
| 07-08 21:10 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1361619657 | $403.38 |
| 07-06 01:45 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0169114801 | $146.76 |
| 07-06 01:40 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.007 | $72.28 |
| 07-06 01:39 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1382807861 | $1.5k |
| 07-06 00:56 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0384103942 | $5.4k |
| 07-06 00:54 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.041 | $26.63 |
| 07-06 00:20 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0426411511 | $980.11 |
| 07-05 23:40 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0407324402 | $3.1k |
| 07-05 19:58 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.072 | $1.6k |