PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

99problems123

0x00425c692a667981118f679ef68fdc775257321e

Realised P&L
$-17.9k
Volume
$18.23M
Markets traded
371
Open portfolio
$69.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded371
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6270.715$40.7k+$5.0k
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.9110.993$13.5k+$1.1k
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8500.981$9.8k+$1.3k
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3010.050$1.3k$6.7k
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.1400.940$829.76+$706.11
Deel IPO before 2027? · No0.6700.955$816.34+$243.62
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6650.790$521.72+$82.57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.0600.019$487.50$1.0k
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0200.009$457.99$515.22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.5180.955$239.71+$109.60
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0590.563$206.61+$184.98
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? · No0.3480.500$165.31+$50.07
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? · No0.3000.500$126.75+$50.70
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.7430.043$71.04$1.1k
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.7110.038$18.32$320.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 21:38Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by September 30?BUY0.01$0.54
09-03 00:45Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.31$1.8k
09-02 00:47Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.002$23.09
09-02 00:46Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.001$17.17
09-02 00:45Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.001$9.33
09-02 00:00Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.942$3.4k
09-01 23:43Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3391615472$4.3k
08-30 22:11Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.24$2.0k
08-30 22:10Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.24$72.00
08-12 18:08Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0029969458$31.69
08-12 12:30Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.45$34.7k
08-12 12:25Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?SELL0.69$941.50
08-12 12:25Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?SELL0.71$2.5k
08-11 02:18Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5462731555$514.88
08-11 02:17Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5343477316$1.1k