PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

99problems123

0x00425c692a667981118f679ef68fdc775257321e

Realised P&L
$12.9k
Volume
$17.84M
Markets traded
357
Open portfolio
$46.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded357
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6270.685$39.9k+$3.4k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2630.205$2.7k$764.11
Deel IPO before 2027? · No0.6700.955$816.34+$243.62
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.1400.800$706.55+$582.91
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · No0.0700.045$450.00$250.00
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6650.675$445.77+$6.62
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.4280.675$380.82+$139.19
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.7430.185$302.11$911.60
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.5180.945$237.19+$107.09
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? · No0.3480.500$165.31+$50.07
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? · No0.3000.500$126.75+$50.70
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.7110.175$83.27$255.27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0270.030$55.57+$5.27
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0590.074$27.34+$5.71
Discord IPO before 2027? · No0.2360.686$10.04+$6.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 13:54Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.027154278$50.30
07-31 03:24Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.4282790953$241.63
07-29 17:32Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.757$22.79
07-27 04:20Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.22$71.54
07-14 20:23France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSELL0.0944250019$679.37
07-12 23:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.212$217.30
07-08 21:10Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?BUY0.1361619657$403.38
07-06 01:45Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0169114801$146.76
07-06 01:40Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.007$72.28
07-06 01:39Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1382807861$1.5k
07-06 00:56Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0384103942$5.4k
07-06 00:54Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.041$26.63
07-06 00:20Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0426411511$980.11
07-05 23:40Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0407324402$3.1k
07-05 19:58Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.072$1.6k