99problems123
0x00425c692a667981118f679ef68fdc775257321e
- Realised P&L
- $-17.9k
- Volume
- $18.23M
- Markets traded
- 371
- Open portfolio
- $69.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded371
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.4kat 0.625US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$57.9kat 0.993US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$44.5kat 0.226US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$36.0kat 0.432US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$22.1kat 0.824Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 21:38 | Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by September 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.54 |
| 09-03 00:45 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.8k |
| 09-02 00:47 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $23.09 |
| 09-02 00:46 | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $17.17 |
| 09-02 00:45 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $9.33 |
| 09-02 00:00 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.942 | $3.4k |
| 09-01 23:43 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3391615472 | $4.3k |
| 08-30 22:11 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.0k |
| 08-30 22:10 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $72.00 |
| 08-12 18:08 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0029969458 | $31.69 |
| 08-12 12:30 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $34.7k |
| 08-12 12:25 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $941.50 |
| 08-12 12:25 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | SELL | 0.71 | $2.5k |
| 08-11 02:18 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5462731555 | $514.88 |
| 08-11 02:17 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5343477316 | $1.1k |