grandvalira
0x53c4eb97b8ad17727a4657c8252c73eb4d879522
- Realised P&L
- $37.65
- Volume
- $125.3k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$346.76at 0.851Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
- +$201.59at 0.183Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
- +$140.50at 0.009Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$62.05at 0.018Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
- +$60.94at 0.936Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:34 | Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.6781 | $20.34 |
| 09-16 02:25 | Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31? | BUY | 0.7728991597 | $38.63 |
| 09-16 02:24 | Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30? | BUY | 0.83 | $43.99 |
| 09-16 02:24 | Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30? | BUY | 0.82 | $160.09 |
| 09-16 02:17 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $600.00 |
| 09-16 02:16 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999991 | $200.00 |
| 09-16 02:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 09-16 02:03 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.27 | $216.07 |
| 09-16 01:49 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.069747565 | $87.86 |
| 09-16 01:47 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0145990691 | $18.19 |
| 02-12 18:15 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 02-12 18:11 | Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BUY | 0.946124329 | $693.00 |
| 02-12 18:10 | Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BUY | 0.936047059 | $892.00 |
| 02-12 17:48 | Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 9 above $320? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 12-17 16:02 | Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.00 |