PolyBot

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Traders

grandvalira

0x53c4eb97b8ad17727a4657c8252c73eb4d879522

Realised P&L
$37.65
Volume
$125.3k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.9101.000$659.34+$59.34
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? · Yes0.2700.345$276.09+$60.02
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30? · No0.8220.955$237.06+$32.98
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.945$198.95$1.05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0690.074$104.88+$7.84
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31? · No0.7730.810$40.48+$1.85
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0150.017$21.18+$2.99
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026? · No0.6780.634$19.02$1.32
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3170.162$5.30$5.10
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31? · Yes0.4440.000$0.00$366.36
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $290-$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21? · Yes0.2250.000$0.00$108.00
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 9 above $320? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00$320.09
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.0900.000$0.00$11.70
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $230 before 2026?? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$27.28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 02:34Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?BUY0.6781$20.34
09-16 02:25Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?BUY0.7728991597$38.63
09-16 02:24Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?BUY0.83$43.99
09-16 02:24Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?BUY0.82$160.09
09-16 02:17Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.9099999999$600.00
09-16 02:16Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9499999991$200.00
09-16 02:13Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$12.00
09-16 02:03Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?BUY0.27$216.07
09-16 01:49Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.069747565$87.86
09-16 01:47Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0145990691$18.19
02-12 18:15Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.27$5.40
02-12 18:11Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY0.946124329$693.00
02-12 18:10Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY0.936047059$892.00
02-12 17:48Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 9 above $320?BUY0.2$20.00
12-17 16:02Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?BUY0.009$9.00