PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.39. up 0.18 over the period, from 0.21. Range 0.21 to 0.48. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.418080
0.4720100
0.5325125
0.5424149
0.5622171
0.5740211
0.5829240
0.6245285
0.6327312
0.6480392
0.65100492
0.7242534

Spread0.04Mid0.39

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.376060
0.35452512
0.3435547
0.3386634
0.3155689
0.30120809
0.2818827
0.2430857
0.222041,061
0.212201,281
0.192581,539
0.188592,398

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.636060
0.65452512
0.6635547
0.6786634
0.6955689
0.70120809
0.7218827
0.7630857
0.782041,061
0.792201,281
0.812581,539
0.828592,398

Spread0.04Mid0.61

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.598080
0.5320100
0.4725125
0.4624149
0.4422171
0.4340211
0.4229240
0.3845285
0.3727312
0.3680392
0.35100492
0.2842534

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
ChampagneSocialistYes373.89
0x233BACFB515aaDYes298.97
tradetosurvive1Yes279.13
rocky42006Yes175.9
ogi250Yes127.76
SmartBoyBillyYes80.4
molodoyyYes75.01
walkwithyourboyYes59.03
LornaPredictsYes35.97
smlptmYes32.02
hulaharryYes29.03
CorlysYes25.15
SlackjawYes20
bechamelYes20
0x89ccCdA1776CBAe88401e3668ac9Ab08cF2A9e01-1773151154333Yes19.99
HerrieDavisYes18.51
AJSVYes18.4
nc3iceibvtvetvbtYes15.71
dgfd76Yes13.41
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes10.39

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
04:50:59BUYNo0.645$3.10
04:41:42BUYNo0.5988150$89.82
03:33:51SELLNo0.5818$10.46
03:20:30SELLNo0.5916$9.48
02:46:15SELLNo0.5920$11.80
02:25:08SELLNo0.635$3.09
02:22:44BUYNo0.6520$13.00
02:20:24SELLNo0.5451$27.52
02:20:20SELLNo0.5560720$11.12
02:20:18SELLNo0.6118$11.00
02:20:12SELLNo0.6496$61.71
02:20:09SELLNo0.6431$20.00
02:20:09BUYYes0.35999998728$10.00
02:20:08BUYYes0.32153$49.04
02:20:08BUYYes0.3365331802146$49.04
02:20:08BUYYes0.3364$21.08
02:20:08BUYYes0.32156$50.00
02:20:08BUYYes0.3561$21.49
02:20:08BUYYes0.3231$10.00
02:20:08BUYYes0.324$1.16
02:20:06BUYYes0.3264$20.44
02:20:06BUYYes0.32156$50.00
22:05:39BUYNo0.698$5.31
22:05:38BUYNo0.6920$13.80
05:27:08BUYNo0.75$3.50