PolyBot

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Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.08. down 0.56 over the period, from 0.64. Range 0.04 to 0.68. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.09528528
0.105081,036
0.11991,135
0.121011,236
0.13861,322
0.141211,443
0.161301,573
0.19121,585
0.22501,635
0.29301,665
0.301601,825
0.43301,855

Spread0.02Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.07167167
0.06433600
0.0569670
0.028001,470
0.019302,399

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.93167167
0.94433600
0.9569670
0.988001,470
0.999302,399

Spread0.02Mid0.92

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.91528528
0.905081,036
0.89991,135
0.881011,236
0.87861,322
0.861211,443
0.841301,573
0.81121,585
0.78501,635
0.71301,665
0.701601,825
0.57301,855

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
caspar1248Yes700
SingletonFamilyFundYes470
LornaPredictsYes365.86
The-JokerYes302
1in1000Yes240.01
tradetosurvive1Yes216.61
Dr.PNLYes205.7
0xd38F5f17D57b4deD218dfCBcA4Bd8dEEe78ABf78-1782112319192Yes160
godabesYes145.28
Rex416Yes140
POB1Yes121.21
KingheepYes105.67
molodoyyYes100.01
SmartBoyBillyYes80.4
0x37525cB351f53968Cb1177C1059C09bC25E69d56-1761723227494Yes80
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes66.24
umyfavYes55.95
shaysYes54.1
OlkaYes50
Mithrandir.Yes43.51

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:59:42SELLYes0.0715$1.05
19:49:01SELLNo0.9184849663309$283.48
17:16:58SELLYes0.0851$4.11
15:47:54BUYNo0.9210$9.20
15:46:51BUYNo0.9210$9.20
15:31:09BUYNo0.929$8.28
14:46:43BUYYes0.061773984446$2.86
12:25:49BUYYes0.0640$2.40
12:25:42BUYYes0.0640$2.40
12:08:25BUYYes0.0640$2.40
06:59:03SELLYes0.063440736587$5.51
04:01:00BUYYes0.096952941285$8.24
03:58:39BUYYes0.0630$1.80
03:03:57BUYYes0.0523$1.15
14:11:01SELLYes0.0550$2.50
12:55:37SELLYes0.07486334121,284$96.14
07:31:45SELLNo0.839$7.13
20:10:37SELLNo0.85$4.00
14:19:09SELLNo0.829$7.04
08:35:18SELLYes0.177583627796$17.09
07:50:45SELLYes0.2250$11.00
07:49:52SELLYes0.2256733594249$56.09
06:09:40SELLYes0.236$1.38
03:53:07BUYYes0.310$3.00
22:17:18BUYNo0.689999992411$7.27