shays
0x9c0432983699619fa80552470c218eba09f17fb3
- Realised P&L
- $-16.91
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $30.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.855 | $26.49 | +$4.18 |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.080 | $4.33 | −$28.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.54at 0.750Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
- +$0.22at 0.984Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$0.22at 0.988Will Elon tweet 240-249 times April 4 - 11?
- +$0.21at 0.992Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
- +$0.17at 0.992Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:52 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9839999994 | $13.68 |
| 01-30 16:34 | Will Solana reach $150 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999936 | $17.87 |
| 01-30 14:52 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9979999753 | $22.07 |
| 01-30 12:58 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.60 |
| 12-30 13:47 | Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.56 |
| 12-29 23:41 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.36 |
| 12-29 23:05 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999695 | $26.99 |
| 12-29 20:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999893 | $31.63 |
| 10-30 23:24 | Will XRP reach $3.50 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.32 |
| 10-30 17:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? | BUY | 0.9920330007 | $21.79 |
| 09-29 09:37 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.60 |
| 09-29 04:21 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $19.14 |
| 09-28 23:26 | Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.63 |
| 09-28 23:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BUY | 0.9989999525 | $12.40 |
| 08-31 23:21 | Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.30 |