PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

The-Joker

0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729

Realised P&L
$142.4k
Volume
$6.33M
Markets traded
2,024
Open portfolio
$53.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,024
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? · Yes0.4800.817$9.3k+$3.8k
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 370m and 380m? · No0.9960.997$9.2k+$4.73
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · No0.9570.982$7.8k+$198.42
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? · Yes0.9951.000$4.7k+$22.50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9020.979$2.9k+$229.50
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? · Yes0.6780.775$2.1k+$257.84
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m? · Yes0.9980.997$2.0k$1.42
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m? · No0.9140.981$1.9k+$127.81
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3010.390$1.8k+$406.69
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.5050.655$1.8k+$407.81
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m? · No0.9800.999$1.7k+$32.47
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? · No0.8810.969$1.2k+$106.14
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · No0.3040.482$821.24+$303.91
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m? · No0.9501.000$741.60+$36.62
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? · Yes0.9050.940$683.35+$25.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:30Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?BUY0.131$317.68
08-02 16:29Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?BUY0.0995287679$257.59
08-02 15:48Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.8470949709$822.83
08-02 15:48Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.8045421591$332.91
08-02 15:24Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m?BUY0.9890293335$122.73
08-02 15:22Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 370m and 380m?BUY0.9959892752$9.2k
08-02 04:54Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?BUY0.63$112.33
08-02 04:38Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 172m and 177m?SELL0.9900100002$495.00
08-02 04:18Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?SELL0.6008143844$1.5k
08-02 03:46Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?BUY0.91$2.6k
08-02 03:46Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?BUY0.9039647748$604.61
08-02 03:41Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaSELL0.68$144.34
08-02 02:38Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.572$172.05
08-02 02:37Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.514079707$23.86
08-02 02:32Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.333006148$57.96