The-Joker
0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729
- Realised P&L
- $142.4k
- Volume
- $6.33M
- Markets traded
- 2,024
- Open portfolio
- $53.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,024
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.6kat 0.434Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?
- +$8.6kat 0.003US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$5.3kat 0.539Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?
- +$4.9kat 0.327Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?
- +$4.7kat 0.701Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:30 | Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m? | BUY | 0.131 | $317.68 |
| 08-02 16:29 | Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m? | BUY | 0.0995287679 | $257.59 |
| 08-02 15:48 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.8470949709 | $822.83 |
| 08-02 15:48 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.8045421591 | $332.91 |
| 08-02 15:24 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m? | BUY | 0.9890293335 | $122.73 |
| 08-02 15:22 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 370m and 380m? | BUY | 0.9959892752 | $9.2k |
| 08-02 04:54 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | BUY | 0.63 | $112.33 |
| 08-02 04:38 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 172m and 177m? | SELL | 0.9900100002 | $495.00 |
| 08-02 04:18 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.6008143844 | $1.5k |
| 08-02 03:46 | Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.6k |
| 08-02 03:46 | Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m? | BUY | 0.9039647748 | $604.61 |
| 08-02 03:41 | Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha | SELL | 0.68 | $144.34 |
| 08-02 02:38 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.572 | $172.05 |
| 08-02 02:37 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.514079707 | $23.86 |
| 08-02 02:32 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.333006148 | $57.96 |