Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-01
Resolves by: https://www.githubstatus.com/
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.34. up 0.09 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.23 to 0.35. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.34	339	339
0.35	129	468
0.40	10	478
0.41	63	541
0.44	95	636
0.45	8	644
0.74	500	1,144
0.75	300	1,444
0.77	8	1,452
0.84	6	1,458
0.85	250	1,708
0.89	456	2,164

Spread0.01Mid0.34

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.33	349	349
0.32	58	407
0.31	21	428
0.14	20	448
0.13	20	468
0.07	40	508
0.05	30	538
0.03	11	548
0.02	33	581
0.01	55	636

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.67	349	349
0.68	58	407
0.69	21	428
0.86	20	448
0.87	20	468
0.93	40	508
0.95	30	538
0.97	11	548
0.98	33	581
0.99	55	636

Spread0.01Mid0.67

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.66	339	339
0.65	129	468
0.60	10	478
0.59	63	541
0.56	95	636
0.55	8	644
0.26	500	1,144
0.25	300	1,444
0.23	8	1,452
0.16	6	1,458
0.15	250	1,708
0.11	456	2,164

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
claudemole	Yes	200
LornaPredicts	Yes	154.69
0x3a9d…f332	Yes	50
molodoyy	Yes	23.08
Dr.PNL	Yes	13.48
Mojito9	Yes	13.26
0x8f83d9aeE0904Ee17A8a80857056dB3b8Cb888DD-1786436206033	Yes	8.33
0x45e606f7849330AdAd37875f835FBdD1B7868FCa-1775496679263	Yes	6.67
0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-1782168978900	Yes	5
GuyFromTinder	Yes	3.28
0xd45b…7ae6	Yes	2.84
0xa5ef…2966	No	411.95
AJSV	No	33.92
pppnn	No	10
tradetosurvive1	No	9.6
sb896345	No	6.41
0x7755…3c6f	No	2.86
OmeadAzadeh	No	2.73
0x888888888	No	1.37
solidsnakeronin	No	1.15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:55:21	SELL	Yes	0.33	100	$32.99
17:17:25	SELL	No	0.66	50	$33.00
05:02:33	SELL	No	0.67	50	$33.50
23:38:27	SELL	No	0.69	30	$20.70
16:11:13	BUY	No	0.699999965	3	$2.00
15:04:15	SELL	No	0.69	30	$20.70
14:38:30	SELL	No	0.69	100	$69.00
11:46:01	SELL	No	0.56	55	$30.80
11:16:24	SELL	Yes	0.27	50	$13.50
11:00:31	BUY	Yes	0.28	5	$1.40
10:47:33	SELL	No	0.7693908898	680	$522.94
09:59:06	BUY	No	0.8	2	$1.66
09:39:18	BUY	No	0.73	678	$494.66
09:39:16	BUY	No	0.7299999949	51	$37.50
13:03:19	SELL	Yes	0.27	8	$2.25
22:02:28	SELL	Yes	0.28	14	$3.97
16:15:01	BUY	Yes	0.27	25	$6.75
16:07:12	BUY	Yes	0.27	25	$6.75
18:04:42	SELL	Yes	0.21	17	$3.50
04:10:19	SELL	No	0.81	22	$17.67
01:49:09	BUY	Yes	0.16	1	$0.16
01:49:07	SELL	No	0.84	50	$42.00
01:49:00	SELL	No	0.85	275	$233.89
12:50:04	BUY	No	0.9	3	$2.70
02:37:06	SELL	No	0.9	1	$0.90