PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

solidsnakeronin

0x61a0ed614dbca50907c614d1a292f3e90a2f0ae9

Realised P&L
$-469.15
Volume
$117.4k
Markets traded
2,939
Open portfolio
$58.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,939
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.6100.930$3.05+$1.05
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · Yes0.6840.905$2.65+$0.65
Will Gisèle Pouhe Njall win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election? · Yes0.4300.520$2.42+$0.42
Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election? · No0.1100.260$2.36+$1.36
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.1400.135$1.93$0.07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.8090.763$1.89$0.11
Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · No0.0000.961$1.85+$1.85
Will Tom Dyas win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election? · Yes0.4300.390$1.81$0.19
Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election? · Yes0.5900.915$1.55+$0.55
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of September 2026? · No0.6400.940$1.47+$0.47
Will Renan win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? · No0.5500.725$1.32+$0.32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · No0.5600.725$1.29+$0.29
Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election? · Yes0.4500.580$1.29+$0.29
Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · No0.0000.885$1.28+$1.28
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3250.384$1.18+$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 16:24Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.51$0.94
09-21 16:16Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-21 16:14Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.89$0.94
09-21 16:01Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
09-20 12:52Will Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez win the next Maynas mayoral elections?BUY0.9689999777$1.00
09-20 04:36Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?SELL0.58$0.95
09-20 04:02Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-20 04:01Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?SELL0.25171875$0.97
09-20 03:45Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-20 03:44Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?SELL0.87$0.98
09-20 00:57Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
09-20 00:51Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?SELL0.78$0.98
09-17 20:57Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?BUY0.8$1.00
09-17 20:57Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?SELL0.79$0.99
09-17 20:57Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?BUY0.8$1.00