sb896345
0x77b8d67589ae2b55abaab2f3f744a1fac555e849
- Realised P&L
- $153.74
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 726
- Open portfolio
- $318.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded726
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.99at 0.462Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on September 4?
- +$22.96at 0.462Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 30?
- +$21.83at 0.479Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 4?
- +$21.55at 0.479Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 4?
- +$21.26at 0.482Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.65 | $5.57 |
| 10-05 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.28 |
| 10-05 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.51 | $3.97 |
| 10-05 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.63 | $5.56 |
| 10-05 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.58 | $3.91 |
| 10-05 19:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on October 6? | BUY | 0.66 | $5.50 |
| 10-05 19:07 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.67 |
| 10-05 19:07 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.34 |
| 10-05 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.31 |
| 10-05 16:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.91 |
| 10-05 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.58 | $4.60 |
| 10-05 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.995 | $6.91 |
| 10-05 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.998 | $7.23 |
| 10-05 15:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.7691694352 | $4.63 |