PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sb896345

0x77b8d67589ae2b55abaab2f3f744a1fac555e849

Realised P&L
$153.74
Volume
$16.8k
Markets traded
726
Open portfolio
$318.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded726
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.5900.625$10.59+$0.60
Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.5150.765$7.35+$2.40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 6? · No0.6300.910$6.69+$2.06
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 5? · No0.6900.998$6.64+$2.05
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 6? · No0.5600.720$6.42+$1.43
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on October 6? · Yes0.6600.765$6.37+$0.87
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 7? · No0.6300.695$6.13+$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 7? · No0.5700.690$6.05+$1.05
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 6? · No0.7200.885$5.59+$1.04
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on October 6? · No0.8000.950$5.58+$0.88
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 7? · No0.6500.645$5.53−$0.04
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 6? · No0.5700.650$5.51+$0.68
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 5? · No0.8100.990$5.49+$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 7? · No0.7550.820$5.39+$0.43
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on October 5? · No0.7300.987$5.36+$1.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 20:10Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 7?BUY0.65$5.57
10-05 20:10Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 7?BUY0.52$5.28
10-05 20:10Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 6?BUY0.51$3.97
10-05 20:10Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 7?BUY0.63$5.56
10-05 20:10Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 7?BUY0.58$3.91
10-05 19:10Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on October 6?BUY0.66$5.50
10-05 19:07Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 5?SELL0.999$5.67
10-05 19:07Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 5?SELL0.999$7.34
10-05 18:07Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 5?SELL0.999$6.31
10-05 16:37Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 5?SELL0.999$8.91
10-05 16:10Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 7?BUY0.58$4.60
10-05 16:07Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on October 5?SELL0.995$6.91
10-05 16:07Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 5?SELL0.998$7.23
10-05 15:28Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 5?SELL0.999$5.00
10-05 15:11Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 7?BUY0.7691694352$4.63