Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-01
Resolves by: https://www.githubstatus.com/
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.41. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.39. Range 0.28 to 0.58. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.42	26	26
0.43	120	146
0.44	69	215
0.47	20	235
0.48	110	345
0.49	73	417
0.55	50	467
0.56	95	562
0.57	570	1,132
0.73	100	1,232
0.74	80	1,312
0.82	11	1,323

Spread0.01Mid0.41

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.41	593	593
0.40	100	693
0.22	6	699
0.10	21	720
0.04	11	731
0.03	15	746
0.01	10,019	10,766

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.59	593	593
0.60	100	693
0.78	6	699
0.90	21	720
0.96	11	731
0.97	15	746
0.99	10,019	10,766

Spread0.01Mid0.58

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.58	26	26
0.57	120	146
0.56	69	215
0.53	20	235
0.52	110	345
0.51	73	417
0.45	50	467
0.44	95	562
0.43	570	1,132
0.27	100	1,232
0.26	80	1,312
0.18	11	1,323

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
QR1	Yes	570.13
0xa2bF3B2CED564Ce53d9FB2690b210D3aE61295D3-1773945055521	Yes	196.44
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	136
youtube-trader	Yes	54.13
haouibao	Yes	35
kor-and-m	Yes	25.5
T22222222222	Yes	20.01
0x3a9d…f332	Yes	20
0xd0d9…30f2	Yes	15
0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438	Yes	13.44
ilovecarrots	Yes	5
bigdihhh888	Yes	1.29
0xa5ef…2966	No	459.01
AJSV	No	305.83
SmartBoyBilly	No	167.48
ZhouCD	No	25.26
cigarettes	No	20
tradetosurvive1	No	19
pootytherewardfarmer	No	18.66
GuyFromTinder	No	18.09

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:00:12	BUY	Yes	0.42	5	$2.10
15:00:10	BUY	Yes	0.42	5	$2.10
14:37:13	BUY	Yes	0.42	20	$8.40
13:15:32	BUY	No	0.5699951172	20	$11.67
13:15:32	BUY	No	0.55	1	$0.80
13:15:29	BUY	No	0.54	40	$21.60
13:15:29	BUY	No	0.48	80	$38.40
10:26:35	BUY	No	0.48	20	$9.60
08:30:32	BUY	Yes	0.29	20	$5.80
08:30:16	BUY	No	0.55	10	$5.50
07:59:59	BUY	No	0.43	118	$50.74
06:39:50	SELL	Yes	0.5740015601	13	$7.36
18:33:57	BUY	Yes	0.57	20	$11.40
14:07:01	SELL	No	0.49	15	$7.17
13:37:32	BUY	No	0.5	5	$2.50
08:14:19	SELL	No	0.51	55	$28.05
06:32:38	SELL	Yes	0.48	1	$0.48
01:04:14	SELL	Yes	0.5	1	$0.64
00:19:45	SELL	Yes	0.5	31	$15.36
21:20:36	SELL	Yes	0.49	5	$2.39
19:34:02	SELL	No	0.48	30	$14.40
18:45:18	BUY	Yes	0.49	11	$5.39
18:45:11	BUY	Yes	0.48	11	$5.28
18:44:06	SELL	No	0.51	18	$9.18
18:44:05	BUY	Yes	0.49	9	$4.41