0xa2bF3B2CED564Ce53d9FB2690b210D3aE61295D3-1773945055521
0xa2bf3b2ced564ce53d9fb2690b210d3ae61295d3
- Realised P&L
- $942.86
- Volume
- $74.9k
- Markets traded
- 3,485
- Open portfolio
- $5.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,485
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$343.55at 0.349Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?
- +$207.95at 0.657Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$189.92at 0.249Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
- +$160.71at 0.056S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 2?
- +$118.59at 0.186Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:33 | Will Micron (MU) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8999999986 | $124.99 |
| 09-17 09:51 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.8699999978 | $36.00 |
| 09-17 08:03 | Will Micron (MU) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8902077148 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 08:02 | Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30? | BUY | 0.9384793472 | $151.05 |
| 09-17 07:58 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.4911591356 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 07:57 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.8007909043 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 07:57 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 07:57 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.4319908882 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 07:49 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999977 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 10:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $494.36 |
| 09-16 10:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $61.76 |
| 09-16 10:04 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $29.17 |
| 09-16 07:36 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999954 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 18:19 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September? | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 18:19 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |