PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa2bF3B2CED564Ce53d9FB2690b210D3aE61295D3-1773945055521

0xa2bf3b2ced564ce53d9fb2690b210d3ae61295d3

Realised P&L
$942.86
Volume
$74.9k
Markets traded
3,485
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded3,485
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.8350.997$750.75+$121.93
Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · No0.7700.940$230.40+$41.67
Will Micron (MU) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8960.875$219.81$5.18
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · No0.8110.920$203.83+$24.09
Will Andy Kim vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · No0.8530.976$176.20+$22.20
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · No0.6500.880$165.30+$43.20
Will the Minnesota Twins win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · U 80.50.8500.995$159.20+$23.20
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30? · No0.9380.962$154.84+$3.79
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win more than 83.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · U 83.50.8900.994$139.09+$14.49
Will Washington have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.7820.850$134.95+$10.82
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney in September 2026? · No0.5460.875$133.50+$50.18
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? · No0.7790.485$125.98$76.42
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.1000.395$118.89+$88.89
Will Justin Herbert have 4,099.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6670.785$117.60+$17.64
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026? · No0.9390.935$116.44$0.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:33Will Micron (MU) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8999999986$124.99
09-17 09:51Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.8699999978$36.00
09-17 08:03Will Micron (MU) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8902077148$100.00
09-17 08:02Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30?BUY0.9384793472$151.05
09-17 07:58Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.4911591356$20.00
09-17 07:57Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.8007909043$100.00
09-17 07:57Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 in September?BUY0.7$50.00
09-17 07:57Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 in September?BUY0.4319908882$50.00
09-17 07:49Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.8099999977$50.00
09-16 10:05Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$494.36
09-16 10:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.12$61.76
09-16 10:04Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.11$29.17
09-16 07:36Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.5199999954$50.00
09-15 18:19Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September?BUY0.5099999984$50.00
09-15 18:19Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.119999999$10.00