QR1
0x45bbe85e001a1b1626e94349d45ad6a09f9241a7
- Realised P&L
- $4.7k
- Volume
- $236.3k
- Markets traded
- 464
- Open portfolio
- $7.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded464
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.345Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$529.70at 0.317Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
- +$403.81at 0.275Will Meta's Watermelon model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
- +$356.89at 0.808Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?
- +$311.99at 0.252Will Jessica Alba attend the US Open Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 14:28 | Will Anne Hathaway be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.17 | $10.20 |
| 10-14 14:23 | Will AbbVie Q3 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $5.75B? | BUY | 0.31 | $5.20 |
| 10-14 14:22 | Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPad revenue be above $7B? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 13:35 | Will AbbVie Q3 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $5.75B? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 10-14 13:34 | Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Greater China revenue be above $16B? | BUY | 0.1295081967 | $7.90 |
| 10-14 13:31 | Will Linde (LIN) Q3 sales be above $9.35B? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 10-14 13:31 | Will Linde (LIN) Q3 sales be above $9.05B? | BUY | 0.245 | $9.80 |
| 10-14 11:13 | Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 YouTube ads revenue be above $11.4B? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 10-14 11:11 | Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q3 Rating revenues be above $1.45B? | SELL | 0.35 | $21.00 |
| 10-14 11:00 | Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q3 Rating revenues be above $1.45B? | BUY | 0.072970297 | $36.85 |
| 10-13 23:46 | Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 10-13 23:03 | Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth 4.5% to 5.5%? | BUY | 0.56 | $22.40 |
| 10-13 23:00 | Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 YouTube ads revenue be above $11.6B? | BUY | 0.3401886792 | $90.15 |
| 10-13 22:59 | Alix Earle and Lando Norris confirm relationship in 2026? | SELL | 0.908 | $90.80 |
| 10-13 22:58 | Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Cloud Revenue be above $32B? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |