PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

T22222222222

0xea7f65a8fef1f22c99e760a723080f149f8db855

Realised P&L
$-7.4k
Volume
$499.3k
Markets traded
6,668
Open portfolio
$905.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,668
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 20%-25%? · No0.7300.690$27.60−$1.60
Will Jeff Fawcett win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election? · No0.6200.480$19.20−$5.60
Will El Gouna be relegated from the 2026-27 Egypt Premier League? · No0.7400.715$14.30−$0.50
Will Christopher Haworth qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · No0.7900.695$13.90−$1.90
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? · Yes0.7900.680$13.60−$2.20
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? · No0.7600.670$13.40−$1.80
Will Wisconsin have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.7000.650$13.00−$1.00
Will UCF have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.6800.640$12.81−$0.80
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000? · No0.8500.640$12.80−$4.20
Will The Joint List win 5.5-6.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.8000.635$12.70−$3.30
SSI public model released by December 31, 2026? · No0.7400.630$12.60−$2.20
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? · No0.7800.630$12.60−$3.00
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 10%-15%? · No0.7200.615$12.30−$2.10
Will Andrei Vasilevskiy record 4+ shutouts? · No0.9200.585$11.70−$6.70
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7270.545$11.09−$3.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 19:42Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?SELL0.83$14.11
10-18 19:35US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?BUY0.8099999908$11.40
10-18 19:30Will Syracuse have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?BUY0.77$3.85
10-18 19:28Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026-27 NHL Presidents' Trophy?BUY0.9779999938$3.14
10-18 19:09Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round by at least 15%?SELL0.32$6.40
10-18 19:07Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?BUY0.7$14.00
10-18 19:04Will the CPN-UML candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?SELL0.2$4.00
10-18 19:04Will Pernille Harder finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?SELL0.3305$6.61
10-18 19:04Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.35$7.00
10-18 19:04Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?BUY0.7899999954$15.40
10-18 19:04Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.11$2.20
10-18 19:04Will the Houston Texans win more than 9.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?SELL0.61$12.20
10-18 19:03Will Texas State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.71$14.20
10-18 19:03Will Ohio State have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.35$7.00
10-18 19:02Scorigami in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL season?BUY0.7701265807$15.60