Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2028-11-08
Rewards: 200 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.155. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.154. Range 0.154 to 0.170. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.159	17,913	17,913
0.160	2,926	20,839
0.161	1,021	21,860
0.162	200	22,060
0.163	200	22,260
0.164	1,050	23,310
0.165	5,390	28,699
0.166	8,101	36,801
0.167	9,560	46,360
0.168	1,839	48,200
0.169	1,650	49,850
0.170	15,049	64,899

Spread0.007Mid0.155

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.152	186	186
0.151	10	196
0.150	238	435
0.149	200	635
0.146	159	794
0.145	624	1,418
0.144	1,505	2,922
0.143	1,300	4,222
0.142	2,080	6,302
0.140	760	7,062
0.139	2,800	9,862
0.138	2,033	11,895

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.848	186	186
0.849	10	196
0.850	238	435
0.851	200	635
0.854	159	794
0.855	624	1,418
0.856	1,505	2,922
0.857	1,300	4,222
0.858	2,080	6,302
0.860	760	7,062
0.861	2,800	9,862
0.862	2,033	11,895

Spread0.007Mid0.845

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.841	17,913	17,913
0.840	2,926	20,839
0.839	1,021	21,860
0.838	200	22,060
0.837	200	22,260
0.836	1,050	23,310
0.835	5,390	28,699
0.834	8,101	36,801
0.833	9,560	46,360
0.832	1,839	48,200
0.831	1,650	49,850
0.830	15,049	64,899

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
gatorr	Yes	386,409.08
Hugewinner	Yes	323,061.18
fuc.your.mother	Yes	201,508.12
cocos228	Yes	180,096.69
Ket218	Yes	137,272.2
risk-manager	Yes	105,000.05
0x3D84c9478F783C950B6E3259072FA706cC66086B-1750353270695	Yes	96,726.57
Cadabra	Yes	84,052.23
charliealmanack	Yes	68,988.16
mattheusmaximus	Yes	64,490.64
Monopoly_Money	Yes	63,733.95
0x74FAa250CBab3a9597cF4B9F9d69bb9825797Ff1-1769792758500	Yes	60,000
AnonymousUsername	Yes	59,328.72
TaxIsTheft	Yes	44,905.08
Polybius	Yes	40,093.39
JetXBTcn	Yes	36,708.73
0xa0f2…1848	Yes	32,521.79
0xcb58C474467A6Dca91D16E346F8f0fE87DFC0160-1768538034918	Yes	31,574.2
fitmk	Yes	29,438.48
brucemsx	Yes	27,681.92

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:41:39	SELL	Yes	0.153	121	$18.52
20:39:55	BUY	Yes	0.159	8	$1.27
20:35:06	SELL	Yes	0.153	123	$18.74
19:43:16	BUY	Yes	0.159	20	$3.18
18:10:58	BUY	Yes	0.1589999994	31	$5.00
17:48:51	SELL	Yes	0.154	0	$0.01
17:48:49	SELL	Yes	0.1596426951	630	$100.61
17:14:39	BUY	Yes	0.1659999831	6	$1.00
16:33:34	BUY	Yes	0.1659999831	6	$1.00
16:21:25	SELL	No	0.835	51	$42.87
16:11:24	BUY	Yes	0.1659999973	58	$9.67
15:47:18	BUY	Yes	0.1659999831	6	$1.00
15:33:58	BUY	Yes	0.1659999992	49	$8.09
14:55:34	BUY	Yes	0.1669999987	6	$1.00
14:06:15	SELL	Yes	0.157	133	$20.91
13:37:40	SELL	Yes	0.159	209	$33.26
12:15:25	SELL	Yes	0.159	38	$6.02
08:18:06	BUY	Yes	0.1666376192	70	$11.68
08:13:27	SELL	No	0.834	51	$42.38
05:53:21	SELL	Yes	0.1606541511	276	$44.37
04:40:09	BUY	No	0.8449999662	1	$1.00
03:30:10	BUY	Yes	0.16650347	601	$100.00
03:19:31	SELL	No	0.834	10	$8.34
03:09:27	BUY	Yes	0.1652972552	605	$100.00
00:37:46	BUY	Yes	0.1649999989	61	$10.00