PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

risk-manager

0xa61ef8773ec2e821962306ca87d4b57e39ff0abd

Realised P&L
$253.5k
Volume
$715.75M
Markets traded
867
Open portfolio
$165.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded867
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 14:49Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.009$61.24
08-26 15:09Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.985$8.8k
08-22 11:08Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?SELL0.34$275.48
08-22 11:05Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.004$147.18
08-22 11:05Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.006$17.16
08-22 11:05Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.008$80.34
08-06 17:57Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.004$130.21
08-01 04:18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.76$3.8k
07-27 15:16Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.718$25.13
07-19 19:06Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.582$446.97
07-19 19:02Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?SELL0.2475$4.0k
07-19 19:00Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?SELL0.2525$2.7k
07-18 21:18Will France vs. England end in a draw?SELL0.2$1.6k
07-17 16:12Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.001$44.10
07-17 03:10Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.004$4.70