PolyBot

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Traders

cocos228

0x8e5c0cc55cda93d6cae14becb3b738a44dcaa68a

Realised P&L
$524.1k
Volume
$7.79M
Markets traded
125
Open portfolio
$200.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded125
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6890.835$62.4k+$10.9k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7990.935$37.1k+$5.4k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3300.160$28.7k$30.8k
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7500.755$26.1k+$173.16
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.6560.855$19.5k+$4.5k
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.6530.840$15.9k+$3.5k
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5500.595$3.8k+$287.37
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.6580.955$2.7k+$841.59
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.5600.720$2.0k+$434.20
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.4690.915$945.17+$460.17
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? · No0.7200.951$739.28+$179.28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1580.000$0.00$4.2k
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00$2.9k
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$2.3k
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 09:43Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.83$243.31
09-15 17:30Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.75$13.0k
09-15 16:50Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.55$3.5k
08-21 15:02Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1509999993$163.29
06-15 06:40US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.849$5.4k
06-02 09:39MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.009$10.00
05-24 21:00Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.7099999997$541.10
05-23 14:06Iran leadership change by June 30?BUY0.86$3.0k
05-20 17:22Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.6899999965$195.90
05-20 15:32Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?SELL0.967$184.70
05-19 07:14Iran coup attempt by June 30?BUY0.8799999997$139.27
05-18 21:27Iran leadership change by June 30?BUY0.86$165.12
05-18 21:27Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?SELL0.97$1.0k
05-18 11:20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.6899999745$21.40
05-17 13:09Iran leadership change by June 30?BUY0.88$5.6k