Monopoly_Money
0x7ea7bcd658a253bfa78618a8e127cc73b54879ac
- Realised P&L
- $-104.6k
- Volume
- $5.38M
- Markets traded
- 291
- Open portfolio
- $275.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded291
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.1kat 0.776US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
- +$40.9kat 0.506Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$34.7kat 0.210Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
- +$30.3kat 0.371Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$19.5kat 0.711Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:43 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 09-15 18:40 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 09-15 18:35 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 09-08 13:51 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? | BUY | 0.2366304348 | $3.27 |
| 09-03 16:41 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 08-26 15:53 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $45.38 |
| 07-11 23:38 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 13:56 | Trump signs housing bill by end of July? | SELL | 0.0013069796 | $1.40 |
| 07-10 13:55 | Trump signs housing bill by end of July? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.68 |
| 07-10 13:55 | Trump signs housing bill by end of July? | BUY | 0.023919667 | $22.99 |
| 07-10 11:52 | Will Trump fly in original Air Force 1 again this month? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.45 |
| 07-08 13:24 | U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $36.51 |
| 07-08 13:18 | U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $179.56 |
| 06-28 20:27 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $14.97 |
| 06-08 12:24 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $600.00 |