PolyBot

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Traders

0x74FAa250CBab3a9597cF4B9F9d69bb9825797Ff1-1769792758500

0x74faa250cbab3a9597cf4b9f9d69bb9825797ff1

Realised P&L
$-18.3k
Volume
$154.1k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$22.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · No0.9401.000$10.0k+$600.00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3400.160$9.6k$10.8k
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? · No0.9581.000$2.0k+$84.00
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · Yes0.7501.000$500.00+$125.00
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.1340.000$0.00$13.40
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28? · No0.2500.000$0.00$2.2k
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? · No0.4400.000$0.00$2.6k
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$34.26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1? · Yes0.3450.000$0.00$6.9k
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.8900.000$0.00$445.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3? · Yes0.3990.000$0.00$2.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-03 16:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?BUY0.0066957614$15.91
02-03 16:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?BUY0.416641156$2.1k
02-02 01:48Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY0.89$139.73
02-01 15:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?BUY0.1827333257$1.3k
02-01 11:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?BUY0.799$57.53
02-01 11:46Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?SELL0.3585222256$334.56
02-01 02:46Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?BUY0.24996869$2.5k
02-01 02:43Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?BUY0.7092334661$366.76
02-01 02:23Will XRP dip to $1.50 January 26-1?SELL0.0310145239$200.73
01-31 14:27Will XRP dip to $1.50 January 26-1?BUY0.112$1.80
01-31 13:40Will XRP dip to $1.50 January 26-1?BUY0.042$84.00
01-31 13:39Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?BUY0.317$317.00
01-31 13:37Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 January 26-1?BUY0.055$209.35
01-31 13:36Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?BUY0.958$1.7k
01-31 12:53Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?BUY0.02696983$53.94