Ket218
0x7d8c02a93418d3d1a0c9a45cb0443e3046f60b5c
- Realised P&L
- $-35.4k
- Volume
- $593.4k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $21.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.160 | $21.9k | −$17.9k |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.8k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.2kat 0.750Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$6.9kat 0.843Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
- +$6.6kat 0.845Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
- +$6.2kat 0.827US forces enter Iran by March 14?
- +$5.0kat 0.498Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 21:28 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1998347779 | $378.57 |
| 07-14 21:25 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.198 | $114.70 |
| 06-20 12:27 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1980778788 | $33.4k |
| 06-20 12:27 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.194498953 | $9.5k |
| 06-19 08:01 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.8374880799 | $13.4k |
| 06-19 08:01 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.84 | $23.6k |
| 06-16 21:29 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.244 | $829.60 |
| 06-16 11:32 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.244 | $3.0k |
| 06-15 18:24 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.246 | $415.03 |
| 06-13 19:14 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0110882457 | $37.82 |
| 06-09 07:25 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0703549582 | $240.00 |
| 06-09 07:23 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.118754966 | $258.27 |
| 06-05 06:17 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.252 | $6.9k |
| 06-03 17:35 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.252 | $1.2k |
| 06-03 14:21 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.251 | $383.66 |