PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Cadabra

0xc65e8816443985b1148f03b8aea249fb96861502

Realised P&L
$9.1k
Volume
$2.56M
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$70.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5440.512$56.7k$3.5k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3650.160$13.4k$17.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-03 10:48Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.36$14.3k
01-03 10:35Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.5443041962$59.8k
10-25 20:29Aspinall vs. GaneBUY0.77$6.0k
10-25 20:28Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?SELL0.9643754665$3.1k
10-25 20:27Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?SELL0.9697330267$2.9k
04-19 22:49Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?SELL0.006$57.82
04-19 19:31Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?BUY0.1259440761$499.96
04-19 19:29Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?SELL0.89$500.18
04-19 18:53Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?BUY0.18$126.27
04-19 18:52Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?SELL0.89$890.00
04-19 14:27Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?BUY0.9179005848$30.3k
04-19 14:20Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?SELL0.5484717276$2.8k
03-25 11:55Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?BUY0.85$12.7k
03-22 22:50Leon Edwards vs. Sean BradyBUY0.46$39.10
03-22 22:48Leon Edwards vs. Sean BradyBUY0.46$46.00