Cadabra
0xc65e8816443985b1148f03b8aea249fb96861502
- Realised P&L
- $9.1k
- Volume
- $2.56M
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $70.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.544 | 0.512 | $56.7k | −$3.5k |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.365 | 0.160 | $13.4k | −$17.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.2kat 0.863Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
- +$10.5kat 0.833Will Trump and Harris debate before election?
- +$10.0kat 0.667Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
- +$8.4kat 0.907Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
- +$7.8kat 0.972Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-03 10:48 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.36 | $14.3k |
| 01-03 10:35 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.5443041962 | $59.8k |
| 10-25 20:29 | Aspinall vs. Gane | BUY | 0.77 | $6.0k |
| 10-25 20:28 | Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | SELL | 0.9643754665 | $3.1k |
| 10-25 20:27 | Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | SELL | 0.9697330267 | $2.9k |
| 04-19 22:49 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | SELL | 0.006 | $57.82 |
| 04-19 19:31 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BUY | 0.1259440761 | $499.96 |
| 04-19 19:29 | Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | SELL | 0.89 | $500.18 |
| 04-19 18:53 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BUY | 0.18 | $126.27 |
| 04-19 18:52 | Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | SELL | 0.89 | $890.00 |
| 04-19 14:27 | Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.9179005848 | $30.3k |
| 04-19 14:20 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | SELL | 0.5484717276 | $2.8k |
| 03-25 11:55 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BUY | 0.85 | $12.7k |
| 03-22 22:50 | Leon Edwards vs. Sean Brady | BUY | 0.46 | $39.10 |
| 03-22 22:48 | Leon Edwards vs. Sean Brady | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |