PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcb58C474467A6Dca91D16E346F8f0fE87DFC0160-1768538034918

0xcb58c474467a6dca91d16e346f8f0fe87dfc0160

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$1.96M
Markets traded
127
Open portfolio
$37.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded127
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8130.850$11.7k+$517.00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.7300.945$5.1k+$1.2k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3350.154$4.9k−$5.7k
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.8200.954$4.3k+$600.75
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8200.955$2.4k+$337.50
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9200.930$2.3k+$25.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3000.175$1.6k−$1.1k
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9771.000$1.3k+$28.27
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0200.030$1.1k+$367.50
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.7560.705$1.1k−$76.66
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.6400.974$632.77+$216.78
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7800.705$502.00−$53.40
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.4900.805$402.50+$157.50
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.036$198.00−$956.97
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0440.021$138.57−$162.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 20:52Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?SELL0.8$1.8k
10-10 20:51Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.72$7.2k
10-10 20:46Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.9$49.6k
09-26 16:15Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.995$6.4k
09-16 10:10Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.21$195.21
09-16 10:07Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002$25.19
09-09 20:01LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.991$39.64
09-08 19:10Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.8$1.8k
09-07 17:47Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.016$128.00
09-07 17:44Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.985$837.82
09-03 13:01US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?BUY0.989$13.4k
09-02 11:45Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.82$5.6k
09-02 11:40US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?BUY0.95$3.5k
09-02 11:39US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?BUY0.983$735.18
08-28 06:35US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.985$14.6k