PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Hugewinner

0xc8ec6d4cef5c5fe8409ef69303c37f05b678e8f1

Realised P&L
$1.11M
Volume
$21.06M
Markets traded
384
Open portfolio
$67.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded384
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1800.154$49.9k−$8.1k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.5270.579$12.3k+$1.1k
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0300.038$5.5k+$1.2k
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Up0.2310.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up0.2290.000$0.00−$450.00
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.0830.000$0.00−$9.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 09:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?SELL0.999$3.1k
10-18 21:48Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.041$212.84
10-18 21:48Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0294162647$4.1k
10-18 21:41Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.15$4.5k
10-08 04:41Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?BUY0.3164591387$400.00
10-08 04:39US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5390955138$4.2k
10-08 04:37US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5204539432$7.0k
10-08 04:36Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.168055414$5.0k
10-08 04:27Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?BUY0.2901353962$100.00
10-08 04:27Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1740134813$1.4k
10-06 17:15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?BUY0.295962047$443.12
09-15 16:38Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1999964965$28.5k
09-15 16:37Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.193716308$10.0k
09-15 15:58Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1529607724$12.9k
09-15 15:51Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1478533235$4.0k