Hugewinner
0xc8ec6d4cef5c5fe8409ef69303c37f05b678e8f1
- Realised P&L
- $1.11M
- Volume
- $21.06M
- Markets traded
- 384
- Open portfolio
- $67.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded384
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.154 | $49.9k | −$8.1k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.527 | 0.579 | $12.3k | +$1.1k |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.038 | $5.5k | +$1.2k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Up | 0.231 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up | 0.229 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$450.00 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$263.3kat 0.226Magic vs. Pistons
- +$207.6kat 0.324Thunder vs. Pacers
- +$199.0kat 0.115Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$174.3kat 0.129Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$143.3kat 0.417France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 09:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.1k |
| 10-18 21:48 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.041 | $212.84 |
| 10-18 21:48 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0294162647 | $4.1k |
| 10-18 21:41 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.5k |
| 10-08 04:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | BUY | 0.3164591387 | $400.00 |
| 10-08 04:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5390955138 | $4.2k |
| 10-08 04:37 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5204539432 | $7.0k |
| 10-08 04:36 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.168055414 | $5.0k |
| 10-08 04:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | BUY | 0.2901353962 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 04:27 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1740134813 | $1.4k |
| 10-06 17:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | BUY | 0.295962047 | $443.12 |
| 09-15 16:38 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1999964965 | $28.5k |
| 09-15 16:37 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.193716308 | $10.0k |
| 09-15 15:58 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1529607724 | $12.9k |
| 09-15 15:51 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1478533235 | $4.0k |