fitmk
0x539d01b1c4d860570a3ea35aaf87168a1f351e69
- Realised P&L
- $15.7k
- Volume
- $998.5k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $27.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · No | 0.695 | 0.805 | $23.2k | +$3.2k |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.296 | 0.160 | $4.7k | −$4.0k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? · No | 0.152 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · No | 0.511 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.0k |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June? · No | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? · No | 0.722 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.4kat 0.620Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
- +$8.7kat 0.844US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$8.1kat 0.704Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$7.5kat 0.285US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$6.5kat 0.584US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 08:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.6951993495 | $20.0k |
| 07-20 01:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.1519458518 | $1000.00 |
| 07-20 01:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.5109118949 | $10.0k |
| 06-19 06:20 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.7221995314 | $5.0k |
| 06-16 03:37 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June? | BUY | 0.5973945917 | $5.0k |
| 05-31 21:52 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0954845058 | $1.1k |
| 05-31 18:09 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8349990952 | $10.0k |
| 05-28 18:31 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.870745049 | $40.0k |
| 05-26 20:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | SELL | 0.976726593 | $6.4k |
| 05-26 20:20 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.0k |
| 05-26 19:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | SELL | 0.9789531308 | $9.9k |
| 05-19 19:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | BUY | 0.7630166711 | $8.0k |
| 05-05 04:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | BUY | 0.5776937483 | $10.0k |
| 05-04 17:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | BUY | 0.5584301098 | $5.0k |
| 05-04 04:35 | Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | SELL | 0.1362060756 | $1.2k |