JetXBTcn
0xa206f73ff9d1312ab989507ca16c72645a8b2cad
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $5.39M
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $44.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.796Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$3.6kat 0.442US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$1.9kat 0.529Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10?
- +$1.6kat 0.917Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?
- +$240.00at 0.760Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 03:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 09-03 04:23 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 08-20 01:57 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-20 01:53 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.023 | $2.30 |
| 07-29 01:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.9k |
| 07-03 07:38 | Squid FDV above $600M one day after launch | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 07-03 07:31 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.947 | $9.47 |
| 07-03 07:30 | Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 07-03 07:29 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY | 0.986 | $9.86 |
| 07-03 07:29 | Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.978 | $9.78 |
| 07-03 07:28 | Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 07-02 04:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.821 | $8.21 |
| 06-22 03:46 | Arcium FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.972 | $8.98 |
| 06-15 04:11 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $19.50 |
| 06-05 03:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.977 | $9.77 |