PolyBot

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Traders

charliealmanack

0xa3a39a3746dbd55f3a33ae38bd27ae2804c2c2f9

Realised P&L
$173.4k
Volume
$3.46M
Markets traded
193
Open portfolio
$168.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded193
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8280.962$134.5k+$18.7k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2410.160$11.0k$5.6k
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9920.999$7.0k+$45.50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9640.995$5.0k+$152.50
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.9520.988$3.1k+$111.37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1000.042$2.1k$2.9k
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.9130.976$1.5k+$97.75
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.9160.943$1.5k+$41.36
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? · No0.4500.984$983.47+$533.48
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1600.065$644.99$954.94
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.9200.945$511.25+$13.53
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.5800.185$185.55$396.18
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? · No0.5600.920$136.56+$53.44
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.6900.779$129.79+$14.90
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2600.042$20.75$109.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 20:05Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.255$255.00
07-15 07:50Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.964$4.8k
07-15 07:48Will “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $85k at auction?BUY0.8115379883$105.53
07-15 07:46Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.582$5.8k
07-05 19:02Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.52$10.4k
07-05 19:01Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.55$11.0k
06-29 09:35Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.76$15.2k
06-29 09:34Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?BUY0.34$4.1k
06-29 09:34Will France win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.78$11.7k
06-29 09:33Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.25$2.5k
06-29 09:33Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.73$8.8k
06-29 09:33Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.58$11.6k
06-25 13:20Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.83$5.0k
06-25 13:18Will England win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.84$12.6k
06-25 13:17Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.8$4.0k