charliealmanack
0xa3a39a3746dbd55f3a33ae38bd27ae2804c2c2f9
- Realised P&L
- $173.4k
- Volume
- $3.46M
- Markets traded
- 193
- Open portfolio
- $168.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded193
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.0kat 0.254US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$33.6kat 0.160US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$25.1kat 0.582Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$17.1kat 0.430Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?
- +$16.3kat 0.886Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 20:05 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.255 | $255.00 |
| 07-15 07:50 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.964 | $4.8k |
| 07-15 07:48 | Will “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $85k at auction? | BUY | 0.8115379883 | $105.53 |
| 07-15 07:46 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.582 | $5.8k |
| 07-05 19:02 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.4k |
| 07-05 19:01 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.0k |
| 06-29 09:35 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.76 | $15.2k |
| 06-29 09:34 | Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | BUY | 0.34 | $4.1k |
| 06-29 09:34 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.78 | $11.7k |
| 06-29 09:33 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.5k |
| 06-29 09:33 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.73 | $8.8k |
| 06-29 09:33 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.6k |
| 06-25 13:20 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.83 | $5.0k |
| 06-25 13:18 | Will England win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.84 | $12.6k |
| 06-25 13:17 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.0k |