Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-04
Rewards: 60 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.238. up 0.040 over the period, from 0.198. Range 0.174 to 0.288. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.240	55	55
0.244	120	175
0.246	501	676
0.249	370	1,046
0.250	325	1,371
0.259	360	1,731
0.260	119	1,850
0.290	60	1,910
0.294	61	1,971
0.332	10	1,981
0.333	5	1,986
0.348	5	1,991

Spread0.003Mid0.238

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.237	71	71
0.236	60	131
0.235	100	231
0.234	100	331
0.233	362	693
0.232	260	953
0.231	100	1,053
0.230	100	1,153
0.229	100	1,253
0.228	116	1,369
0.227	844	2,214
0.219	118	2,331

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.763	71	71
0.764	60	131
0.765	100	231
0.766	100	331
0.767	362	693
0.768	260	953
0.769	100	1,053
0.770	100	1,153
0.771	100	1,253
0.772	116	1,369
0.773	844	2,214
0.781	118	2,331

Spread0.003Mid0.762

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.760	55	55
0.756	120	175
0.754	501	676
0.751	370	1,046
0.750	325	1,371
0.741	360	1,731
0.740	119	1,850
0.710	60	1,910
0.706	61	1,971
0.668	10	1,981
0.667	5	1,986
0.652	5	1,991

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
78979879879879	Yes	3,666.05
balthazar	Yes	1,555.06
65765757	Yes	1,364.35
RenanPresidente.	Yes	1,355.12
GroovyCr0c0dil3	Yes	1,349.62
lava-lava	Yes	1,253.68
DD-88	Yes	1,112.86
jotafreitas	Yes	757.63
franciscogma	Yes	602.06
burityps	Yes	590.44
0xe8b9C3AbD1c6C884187FC4617E7fF4AF9293E006-1775887847674	Yes	527.34
valetecaolho	Yes	353.49
peepeepooppoop	Yes	294.04
eratoxtenex	Yes	261.69
crypto-basenji	Yes	214.79
TheBenefactor	Yes	174.41
LornaPredicts	Yes	157.18
lineth	Yes	154
HerrieDavis	Yes	139.42
Octavio1000	Yes	135.64

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
13:37:16	BUY	No	0.766	173	$132.52
12:30:37	BUY	No	0.7586666667	81	$61.45
00:29:00	SELL	No	0.746	119	$88.77
20:22:57	BUY	No	0.752999996	54	$40.57
15:52:33	SELL	No	0.743	10	$7.28
12:39:15	BUY	No	0.7449999992	33	$24.78
10:31:03	SELL	No	0.742	5	$3.71
05:38:40	BUY	No	0.743999984	16	$11.90
05:37:42	BUY	No	0.744	30	$22.51
05:26:49	BUY	No	0.7439999504	13	$9.36
05:26:49	BUY	No	0.7429999981	65	$48.29
02:38:48	BUY	Yes	0.255	1	$0.14
02:29:19	BUY	Yes	0.2544321795	138	$35.00
02:26:37	SELL	No	0.747	6	$4.45
02:26:34	BUY	Yes	0.2539999969	50	$12.75
02:26:34	BUY	Yes	0.2449999992	184	$45.00
15:55:37	SELL	No	0.76	38	$28.88
15:20:18	BUY	No	0.7655181347	193	$147.74
15:20:16	SELL	No	0.766	7	$5.35
15:12:00	BUY	No	0.7439994584	1	$1.00
15:10:49	BUY	No	0.744	20	$14.90
15:10:49	BUY	No	0.7434416641	128	$95.07
14:23:28	SELL	Yes	0.255	13	$3.23
11:05:39	SELL	No	0.738	5	$4.02
05:33:37	BUY	No	0.7559999757	7	$5.60