valetecaolho
0x162fbc7afa95f21add25597f0ee4febfd9b3978f
- Realised P&L
- $-22.6k
- Volume
- $6.59M
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.061 | $2.4k | −$6.8k |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.6k |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.3kat 0.166Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
- +$5.2kat 0.227Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.9kat 0.160Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
- +$1.0kat 0.211Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$724.23at 0.463Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 21:34 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.023 | $22.38 |
| 10-25 20:22 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 10-25 20:22 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.0424833333 | $7.65 |
| 10-25 20:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | BUY | 0.008 | $3.36 |
| 10-25 20:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.0342392686 | $47.52 |
| 10-25 20:14 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.17 | $65.96 |
| 10-25 20:04 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | BUY | 0.0080697402 | $1.65 |
| 10-25 19:30 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | BUY | 0.0094285884 | $7.92 |
| 10-25 19:30 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.0420219048 | $15.39 |
| 10-25 19:28 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.24 | $9.16 |
| 10-25 19:05 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | BUY | 0.0087021426 | $8.18 |
| 10-25 18:40 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | BUY | 0.0114193651 | $31.92 |
| 10-25 18:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.0464911291 | $50.34 |
| 10-25 18:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | SELL | 0.25 | $115.00 |
| 10-25 17:24 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.0415145507 | $18.80 |