TheBenefactor
0x3ccaf625eafe4e2a252b899f0d9d11ca09d317e5
- Realised P&L
- $0.74
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $699.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? · Yes | 0.595 | 0.705 | $425.93 | +$66.61 |
| Will Delegado Éder Mauro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? · Yes | 0.678 | 0.630 | $148.70 | −$11.30 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.505 | $83.33 | −$20.63 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes | 0.268 | 0.238 | $41.60 | −$5.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 8? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 8? · No | 0.692 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.46 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No | 0.486 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or below on June 6? · Yes | 0.737 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.61at 0.398Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 6?
- +$68.47at 0.659Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
- +$38.84at 0.660Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on March 2?
- +$35.34at 0.630Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?
- +$25.78at 0.031Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 14:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.267763048 | $46.70 |
| 09-14 14:47 | Will Delegado Éder Mauro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? | BUY | 0.6778816193 | $160.00 |
| 09-09 18:35 | Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | BUY | 0.594748195 | $359.32 |
| 09-09 18:33 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.8291527197 | $31.71 |
| 09-09 18:32 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | SELL | 0.9632023783 | $217.89 |
| 07-30 02:32 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6299999978 | $103.96 |
| 07-30 00:15 | Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.93 | $105.98 |
| 06-07 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 8? | BUY | 0.6922153023 | $44.46 |
| 06-07 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7? | SELL | 0.995 | $45.19 |
| 06-07 21:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 8? | BUY | 0.1120008716 | $5.14 |
| 06-07 21:21 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7? | SELL | 0.889 | $5.33 |
| 06-07 19:18 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7? | BUY | 0.603625068 | $31.04 |
| 06-07 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 7? | SELL | 0.302142264 | $32.75 |
| 06-07 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 7? | BUY | 0.5305490348 | $57.51 |
| 06-06 21:58 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or below on June 6? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $20.00 |