PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

65765757

0x2974bd0059e48f215c391882976e0f1b4c8c9c23

Realised P&L
$229.1k
Volume
$7.65M
Markets traded
259
Open portfolio
$400.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded259
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6970.795$290.8k+$35.8k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.8920.998$17.3k+$1.8k
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.6910.885$17.1k+$3.7k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.9690.981$13.3k+$162.43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.8890.880$11.3k$111.72
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.9530.987$11.0k+$374.86
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.8010.795$10.9k$88.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? · Yes0.9891.000$10.4k+$109.80
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8620.890$5.8k+$184.89
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.8850.895$3.8k+$41.11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · No0.9190.956$3.6k+$139.70
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? · No0.9030.915$1.2k+$15.54
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? · Yes0.8480.994$1.1k+$168.27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? · No0.9180.945$1.1k+$32.95
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026? · No0.9500.989$716.98+$27.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:04Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.92$1.8k
08-02 20:19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.978$3.9k
08-02 20:18Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.8299999995$234.00
08-02 20:18Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.9$1.4k
08-02 20:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.9760719549$2.2k
08-02 20:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.987998482$3.8k
08-02 20:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.998$13.3k
08-02 20:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.8799999997$247.00
08-02 20:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.9739927981$449.00
08-02 20:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.9699999999$70.00
08-02 20:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.8699999993$1.1k
08-02 20:13Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.9699999999$102.00
08-02 20:13Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.999$1.9k
08-02 19:31Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.81$1.3k
08-02 19:31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.87$182.00