65765757
0x2974bd0059e48f215c391882976e0f1b4c8c9c23
- Realised P&L
- $253.5k
- Volume
- $8.45M
- Markets traded
- 308
- Open portfolio
- $426.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded308
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.9kat 0.591US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$67.3kat 0.351Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$53.3kat 0.526Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$47.0kat 0.566Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$27.3kat 0.618Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $45.00 |
| 09-16 22:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5299999993 | $193.25 |
| 09-16 19:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2320701694 | $213.00 |
| 09-16 19:01 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.7624724638 | $420.88 |
| 09-16 19:00 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.8435969635 | $2.5k |
| 09-16 19:00 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $2.5k |
| 09-16 18:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.7 | $28.00 |
| 09-16 18:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.858 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 18:58 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8572009764 | $245.00 |
| 09-16 18:57 | Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8378378378 | $31.00 |
| 09-16 18:57 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.9022664804 | $161.51 |
| 09-16 18:56 | Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 18:55 | Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.364878817 | $51.00 |
| 09-16 18:53 | Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4772511843 | $95.00 |
| 09-16 18:52 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.7779787806 | $10.0k |