PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

65765757

0x2974bd0059e48f215c391882976e0f1b4c8c9c23

Realised P&L
$253.5k
Volume
$8.45M
Markets traded
308
Open portfolio
$426.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded308
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7080.835$260.8k+$39.7k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4090.542$44.2k+$10.9k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.7950.795$31.3k$21.11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? · No0.8190.847$25.1k+$805.36
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8580.775$17.3k$1.8k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · No0.6650.695$12.8k+$557.55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.8450.925$10.1k+$871.54
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.6920.865$6.0k+$1.2k
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.8360.870$3.4k+$134.97
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5310.555$3.3k+$141.20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.8440.855$2.5k+$33.66
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2290.226$2.1k$30.57
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · No0.9300.945$2.0k+$31.99
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7280.710$935.94$23.11
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? · Yes0.8430.835$818.01$7.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 00:15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.75$45.00
09-16 22:13Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5299999993$193.25
09-16 19:01Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2320701694$213.00
09-16 19:01Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.7624724638$420.88
09-16 19:00Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.8435969635$2.5k
09-16 19:00Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.82$2.5k
09-16 18:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.7$28.00
09-16 18:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.858$10.00
09-16 18:58Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8572009764$245.00
09-16 18:57Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8378378378$31.00
09-16 18:57Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.9022664804$161.51
09-16 18:56Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3899999945$10.00
09-16 18:55Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.364878817$51.00
09-16 18:53Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4772511843$95.00
09-16 18:52Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.7779787806$10.0k