0xe8b9C3AbD1c6C884187FC4617E7fF4AF9293E006-1775887847674
0xe8b9c3abd1c6c884187fc4617e7ff4af9293e006
- Realised P&L
- $-449.55
- Volume
- $43.6k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $221.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$311.33at 0.378Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
- +$242.91at 0.552Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$233.69at 0.262Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
- +$227.06at 0.475England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$193.69at 0.754Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 22:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.089601086 | $47.25 |
| 08-24 22:37 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.2525630261 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 14:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.8864062468 | $699.27 |
| 07-21 04:47 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.9 | $710.00 |
| 07-19 21:48 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9089999998 | $339.48 |
| 07-19 21:20 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | SELL | 0.999 | $340.44 |
| 07-19 20:47 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.71 | $241.96 |
| 07-19 19:12 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5939999988 | $200.00 |
| 07-17 05:47 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3599999977 | $50.00 |
| 07-17 05:43 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5199999996 | $200.00 |
| 07-16 01:19 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6559999994 | $200.00 |
| 07-14 21:39 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4624999992 | $200.00 |
| 07-14 20:29 | France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.9499999988 | $400.00 |
| 07-14 16:14 | France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $200.00 |
| 07-13 00:32 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.594999999 | $200.00 |