PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe8b9C3AbD1c6C884187FC4617E7fF4AF9293E006-1775887847674

0xe8b9c3abd1c6c884187fc4617e7ff4af9293e006

Realised P&L
$-449.55
Volume
$43.6k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$221.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.0900.238$125.77+$78.52
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.2530.485$96.02+$46.02
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? · No0.8800.000$0.00$788.65
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5950.000$0.00$200.00
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.2620.000$0.00$20.00
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$4.87
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$50.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6560.000$0.00$200.00
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico0.2300.000$0.00$20.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$200.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$20.00
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00$777.87
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners · Over0.8700.000$0.00$500.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 22:38Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?BUY0.089601086$47.25
08-24 22:37Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?BUY0.2525630261$50.00
07-29 14:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.8864062468$699.27
07-21 04:47US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.9$710.00
07-19 21:48Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9089999998$339.48
07-19 21:20Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersSELL0.999$340.44
07-19 20:47Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersBUY0.71$241.96
07-19 19:12Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5939999988$200.00
07-17 05:47Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY0.3599999977$50.00
07-17 05:43Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5199999996$200.00
07-16 01:19Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6559999994$200.00
07-14 21:39England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4624999992$200.00
07-14 20:29France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersBUY0.9499999988$400.00
07-14 16:14France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total CornersBUY0.7899999997$200.00
07-13 00:32France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.594999999$200.00