PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

crypto-basenji

0x72f7b4aa5acaff9629917cf4ec34620a41c492f7

Realised P&L
$16.0k
Volume
$1.97M
Markets traded
410
Open portfolio
$25.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded410
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5200.810$2.5k+$892.66
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? · Yes0.8250.962$2.3k+$322.12
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6090.441$2.0k$772.71
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.5320.840$1.8k+$659.44
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2600.305$1.5k+$225.00
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? · Yes0.6580.480$1.1k$415.68
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? · No0.7380.698$1.1k$62.49
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2300.155$1.1k$526.26
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.4800.805$966.00+$390.00
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.4400.425$915.01$32.80
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2400.165$866.15$393.70
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7600.410$748.34$638.73
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5240.541$714.78+$23.58
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.7700.685$589.77$73.18
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1520.125$546.82$120.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:35Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.47$13.16
09-17 02:35Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.47$23.50
09-17 02:27Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1786854952$59.66
09-17 02:24Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.41$2.05
09-17 00:46Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.54$17.33
09-17 00:43Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.55$11.68
09-16 23:00Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3861573214$105.99
09-16 22:56Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.55$82.50
09-16 18:52Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.052$28.97
09-16 16:38NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?BUY0.89$89.00
09-16 04:00Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.3675616108$246.99
09-16 04:00Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.7700008333$184.82
09-15 14:34Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.14$70.00
09-15 12:45NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.19$49.40
09-15 12:40NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.16$55.46