PolyBot

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Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-10-12
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.09. down 0.06 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.07 to 0.20. 59 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.10225225
0.1714239
0.1920259
0.3020279
0.3113292
0.40135427
0.4160487
0.57100587
0.5860647
0.62326973
0.632,7033,676
0.66403,716

Spread0.03Mid0.09

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.077474
0.06180254
0.05119373
0.03107479
0.0212492
0.0131523

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.937474
0.94180254
0.95119373
0.97107479
0.9812492
0.9931523

Spread0.03Mid0.92

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.90225225
0.8314239
0.8120259
0.7020279
0.6913292
0.60135427
0.5960487
0.43100587
0.4260647
0.38326973
0.372,7033,676
0.34403,716

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes191.35
HaradwaithYes114
GuyFromTinderYes68
SuSuDORISYes29.99
0xca75…0a64Yes27.3
0x3a9d…f332Yes27
youtube-traderYes26.37
jhuusYes22
lolzzzlolYes20.41
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
0xd0d9…30f2Yes20
balthazarYes19.86
zeitfi-vault-v2Yes10
0x48C33D8E9E0989FE23C0BC4DC7E805dA752D0701-1771714134721Yes8.33
0x356f12bb1a0fB8534dAA574C3A5A376937c9f1F3-1779313030858Yes5.01
ragutwoYes1.1
0xa5ef…2966No314.85
Natstar777No268
cigarettesNo18.86
Dr.PNLNo8.9

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:59:03BUYYes0.15$0.50
19:59:00BUYYes0.15$0.50
19:42:02BUYYes0.15$0.50
19:42:00BUYYes0.111$1.10
15:54:39SELLYes0.120$2.00
15:54:30BUYNo0.940$36.00
15:54:30BUYNo0.88268$235.84
15:54:29BUYNo0.920$18.00
15:54:29BUYNo0.920$18.00
15:54:29BUYNo0.940$36.00
08:48:32BUYNo0.8820$17.60
08:48:30SELLYes0.1220$2.40
08:11:03BUYNo0.885$4.40
08:11:03BUYYes0.1420$2.80
23:38:39SELLNo0.96$5.14
20:41:38SELLYes0.051$0.06
20:05:29BUYYes0.110$1.00
20:05:29SELLNo0.910$9.01
13:15:44BUYNo0.88999999610$8.91
13:15:44BUYNo0.893$2.67
13:15:42BUYNo0.8917$15.13
12:22:53BUYNo0.9119$17.16
12:04:54BUYYes0.1456$7.77
10:45:17BUYYes0.132185$0.66
10:45:17BUYYes0.1316$2.08