0x356f12bb1a0fB8534dAA574C3A5A376937c9f1F3-1779313030858
0x356f12bb1a0fb8534daa574c3a5a376937c9f1f3
- Realised P&L
- $-37.16
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $26.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.05at 0.370Meta (META) Up or Down on September 24?
- +$2.60at 0.480Curaçao leading at halftime?
- +$2.60at 0.480Spread: Packers (-4.5)
- +$2.50at 0.500Solana Up or Down - September 25, 3PM ET
- +$2.46at 0.507Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 07:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.10 |
| 10-03 04:27 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.467 | $2.33 |
| 10-03 00:12 | Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.99 |
| 10-02 18:00 | Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.12 |
| 10-02 15:38 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.47 |
| 10-02 05:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 12°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.97 | $1.07 |
| 10-01 20:41 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.06 |
| 09-30 06:39 | Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.03 |
| 09-30 05:58 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.427 | $2.13 |
| 09-30 05:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 09-29 07:47 | Obama divorce before 2027? | SELL | 0.954 | $4.77 |
| 09-29 07:47 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.987 | $4.93 |
| 09-29 07:47 | Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 09-29 07:47 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 09-27 17:55 | Ravens vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |