Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-01
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.026. down 0.017 over the period, from 0.043. Range 0.022 to 0.077. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.042	52	52
0.043	48	100
0.100	41	141
0.258	50	191
0.378	70	261
0.496	70	331
0.588	5	336
0.589	70	406
0.590	496	902
0.799	20	922
0.800	250	1,172
0.895	7	1,179

Spread0.023Mid0.030

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.019	40	40
0.018	83	123
0.017	176	299
0.016	900	1,199
0.015	500	1,699
0.010	500	2,199
0.009	7	2,206
0.008	135	2,341
0.006	320	2,661
0.005	525	3,186
0.004	5	3,192
0.003	5,050	8,242

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.981	40	40
0.982	83	123
0.983	176	299
0.984	900	1,199
0.985	500	1,699
0.990	500	2,199
0.991	7	2,206
0.992	135	2,341
0.994	320	2,661
0.995	525	3,186
0.996	5	3,192
0.997	5,050	8,242

Spread0.023Mid0.970

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.958	52	52
0.957	48	100
0.900	41	141
0.742	50	191
0.622	70	261
0.504	70	331
0.412	5	336
0.411	70	406
0.410	496	902
0.201	20	922
0.200	250	1,172
0.105	7	1,179

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Wojtek	Yes	1,000
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	618.5
from00	Yes	557.85
Cameroooooon	Yes	316.53
M3taton	Yes	193.91
0x2f4f…d0bf	Yes	83.21
GingerMcKenna	Yes	45.76
mustbethewater	Yes	45
Numitus1994	Yes	41.01
0x0A859BDC65680e911f0dF71D65278ed424EE6962-1785898024295	Yes	37.04
OnYesYes	Yes	35.02
PPMT	Yes	26.96
ra5tadark	Yes	25
0x9AfD26142D6FA89a57FFbC77b893d309cABAC377-1783211557781	Yes	17
0x2999227CCDa235d42032e2a452f3b8954Fa33898-1768158371586	Yes	15.12
0x82Fd563E9EAF46f4021F717b2b81F3CB95eE3b80-1765095664427	Yes	14.79
youtube-trader	Yes	10
luciebot	Yes	5
0xa5ef…2966	No	2,906.03
cigarettes	No	80

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:20:34	BUY	No	0.978	25	$24.45
14:35:03	BUY	Yes	0.0315927034	317	$10.00
11:56:28	BUY	No	0.983	40	$39.32
10:24:34	BUY	No	0.983	10	$9.83
09:35:18	BUY	No	0.982	7	$6.87
09:16:25	BUY	No	0.982	10	$9.82
09:16:12	BUY	No	0.982	5	$4.91
05:28:01	BUY	Yes	0.0676321929	15	$1.00
05:03:52	BUY	Yes	0.0269999993	37	$1.00
04:59:16	BUY	No	0.983	10	$9.83
04:59:16	BUY	No	0.983	30	$29.49
04:57:21	SELL	Yes	0.016	35	$0.55
04:57:21	SELL	Yes	0.016	8	$0.13
04:57:21	SELL	Yes	0.017	40	$0.68
03:56:45	BUY	No	0.98	5	$4.90
03:56:43	BUY	No	0.979102	45	$44.06
03:56:43	BUY	No	0.977	30	$29.31
22:53:31	BUY	No	0.972	71	$69.01
18:38:58	BUY	Yes	0.1434068186	558	$80.00
15:10:06	BUY	No	0.984	5	$5.06
15:10:06	BUY	No	0.984	30	$29.52
15:10:06	BUY	No	0.9819573333	45	$44.19
14:50:52	BUY	No	0.98	4	$3.92
14:50:42	BUY	No	0.98	48	$47.23
14:50:39	BUY	No	0.98	10	$9.80