ra5tadark
0xf41f1b496e2b908babc215d6401d67a596d519d2
- Realised P&L
- $-960.87
- Volume
- $1.07M
- Markets traded
- 5,204
- Open portfolio
- $23.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,204
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.71at 0.030CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Platense: O/U 4.5
- +$26.64at 0.080Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-17?
- +$14.93at 0.021Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)
- +$14.53at 0.012Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 26?
- +$14.46at 0.056Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-29 10:28 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.265 | $0.25 |
| 05-29 10:28 | Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.15 |
| 05-29 10:28 | Will Cameron Kasky be the Democratic nominee for NY-10? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.10 |
| 05-29 10:28 | Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.11 |
| 05-29 10:27 | Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.43 |
| 05-29 10:27 | Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.75 |
| 05-29 10:27 | Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.87 |
| 05-29 10:27 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.143 | $1.43 |
| 05-29 10:27 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 05-29 10:26 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.19 |
| 05-29 10:26 | Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.058 | $0.34 |
| 05-29 10:26 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.72 |
| 05-29 10:26 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.68 |
| 05-29 10:25 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.667 | $1.24 |
| 05-28 19:45 | Will Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? | SELL | 0.035 | $0.70 |