PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0A859BDC65680e911f0dF71D65278ed424EE6962-1785898024295

0x0a859bdc65680e911f0df71d65278ed424ee6962

Realised P&L
$46.06
Volume
$534.89
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$19.53

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration97.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Celtics vs. Magic · Celtics0.6901.000$10.00+$3.10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.3700.365$4.93−$0.07
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.0270.031$1.15+$0.15
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.0900.090$1.00+$0.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0570.050$0.88−$0.12
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? · Yes0.3600.315$0.88−$0.12
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.1500.105$0.70−$0.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00−$2.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? · Up0.7800.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 05:06Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
11-01 05:03Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.0269999993$1.00
11-01 05:03Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
11-01 05:03Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
11-01 05:02Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0569999989$1.00
11-01 05:01Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.3699999867$5.00
09-11 03:31Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.036$1.89
08-19 13:21Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0379999824$2.00
08-17 05:48Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?SELL0.96291225$38.52
08-07 03:18Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?SELL0.998$29.94
08-07 03:18Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?SELL0.98$6.42
08-07 03:16Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?SELL0.981$18.10
08-07 02:51Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?SELL0.83$20.75
08-07 02:18Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?SELL0.831$24.93
08-05 13:37Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?BUY0.295$9.09