0x2999227CCDa235d42032e2a452f3b8954Fa33898-1768158371586
0x2999227ccda235d42032e2a452f3b8954fa33898
- Realised P&L
- $64.71
- Volume
- $54.9k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $11.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.004 | $8.50 | +$6.01 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.007 | $1.87 | +$0.87 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.009 | $1.47 | −$0.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.99at 0.004Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$26.73at 0.030Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 28?
- +$13.00at 0.013Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 14?
- +$12.84at 0.002Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$8.56at 0.014Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 44-45°F on January 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:35 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.21 |
| 07-31 15:05 | Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 07-20 18:08 | Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.51 |
| 07-20 18:07 | Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.60 |
| 07-20 18:07 | Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.0122867585 | $0.44 |
| 07-18 20:40 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $11.40 |
| 07-18 17:54 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.76 |
| 07-18 17:41 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.529 | $5.29 |
| 07-18 16:07 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.552 | $5.52 |
| 07-17 17:35 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.80 |
| 07-17 16:23 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 07-17 16:16 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.40 |
| 07-17 16:01 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.571 | $5.45 |
| 07-17 15:33 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 07-17 15:09 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.0042536333 | $1.28 |