PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2f4fdbc7cf1dcf1b6830656ece1b20b87082d0bf

Realised P&L
$-18.87
Volume
$635.84
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$476.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? · No0.9830.992$147.86+$1.24
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.9100.925$112.35+$1.82
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.8100.885$90.58+$7.68
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9740.974$73.85+$0.00
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9400.945$20.09+$0.11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9630.962$17.84$0.03
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026? · Yes0.0900.065$7.22$2.78
China coup attempt before 2027? · No0.9680.947$6.38$0.14
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.9100.000$0.00$26.77

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 19:33T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
07-20 15:46Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.8099999982$82.90
07-20 15:44Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9099999945$110.53
07-20 15:43Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.9739999999$73.85
07-15 17:57Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?BUY0.9831669701$146.62
07-15 15:16China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.9679999988$6.52
07-15 15:15China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.9399999981$19.98
07-15 15:15China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.9099999759$26.77
07-15 15:14Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9629999948$17.87