0x2f4fdbc7cf1dcf1b6830656ece1b20b87082d0bf
- Realised P&L
- $-18.87
- Volume
- $635.84
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $476.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? · No | 0.983 | 0.992 | $147.86 | +$1.24 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.910 | 0.925 | $112.35 | +$1.82 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No | 0.810 | 0.885 | $90.58 | +$7.68 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.974 | 0.974 | $73.85 | +$0.00 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $20.09 | +$0.11 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.963 | 0.962 | $17.84 | −$0.03 |
| T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.065 | $7.22 | −$2.78 |
| China coup attempt before 2027? · No | 0.968 | 0.947 | $6.38 | −$0.14 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.77 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 19:33 | T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 15:46 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.8099999982 | $82.90 |
| 07-20 15:44 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.9099999945 | $110.53 |
| 07-20 15:43 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.9739999999 | $73.85 |
| 07-15 17:57 | Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | BUY | 0.9831669701 | $146.62 |
| 07-15 15:16 | China coup attempt before 2027? | BUY | 0.9679999988 | $6.52 |
| 07-15 15:15 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $19.98 |
| 07-15 15:15 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9099999759 | $26.77 |
| 07-15 15:14 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9629999948 | $17.87 |