luciebot
0x17dd123a0ad9675e6ed3155724a92b4632af944c
- Realised P&L
- $8.0k
- Volume
- $314.2k
- Markets traded
- 9,176
- Open portfolio
- $505.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded9,176
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.297Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$2.0kat 0.760Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$1.9kat 0.002Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$1.9kat 0.007Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
- +$1.8kat 0.026Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:04 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.95 |
| 11-01 23:04 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.97 |
| 11-01 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.24 |
| 11-01 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.30 |
| 11-01 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 11-01 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 11-01 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 11-01 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.983 | $4.92 |
| 11-01 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 22:28 | Will Jorge Martin win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship? | BUY | 0.965 | $8.14 |
| 11-01 22:28 | Will Marco Bezzecchi win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship? | BUY | 0.996 | $8.41 |
| 11-01 22:03 | Will Billie Eilish have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.98 |
| 11-01 22:03 | Will Ariana Grande have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 11-01 22:03 | Will Taylor Swift have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 11-01 22:03 | Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.98 |