PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

luciebot

0x17dd123a0ad9675e6ed3155724a92b4632af944c

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$13.4k
Markets traded
431
Open portfolio
$95.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar21.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded431
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration88.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0620.765$43.60+$40.08
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0230.207$38.93+$34.55
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0120.026$1.72+$0.96
Will another party win the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election? · Yes0.1670.022$1.60$10.24
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 13% or more? · Yes0.1670.020$1.42$10.42
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-26 House seat? · Yes0.0100.032$1.22+$0.84
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · Yes0.1110.055$1.04$1.07
Will September 2026 be the 4th or lower on record? · Yes0.2500.052$0.79$2.96
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0150.009$0.74$0.39
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? · Yes0.0060.375$0.59+$0.58
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0060.004$0.23$0.09
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? · Yes0.2500.007$0.22$7.53
Will the Centre Party (C) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.0100.001$0.19$3.57
Will the Left Party (V) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.0100.001$0.19$3.57
Will the Liberals (L) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.0100.001$0.19$3.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 05:49Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.996$49.80
09-16 05:49Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.977$48.85
09-16 05:49Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.999$49.95
09-16 05:49Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.99$37.24
09-16 03:31Will September 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?BUY0.95$14.32
09-15 21:48Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?BUY0.998$18.96
09-15 20:24Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 38.0 and 38.5 million views on day 4?BUY0.99$4.95
09-15 20:24Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 36.5 and 37.0 million views on day 4?BUY0.84$4.27
09-15 20:24Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 38.5 and 39.0 million views on day 4?BUY0.99$4.95
09-15 20:24Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37.0 and 37.5 million views on day 4?BUY0.84$4.27
09-15 20:24Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 36.0 and 36.5 million views on day 4?BUY0.98$4.91
09-15 20:24Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37.5 and 38.0 million views on day 4?BUY0.99$4.95
09-15 18:55Will "Turning Point: Generation 9/11" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.999$142.87
09-15 18:55Will "The Whisper Man" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.998$142.73
09-15 18:55Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?BUY0.999$158.10