luciebot
0x17dd123a0ad9675e6ed3155724a92b4632af944c
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 431
- Open portfolio
- $95.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar21.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded431
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$422.00at 0.001Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$247.15at 0.250Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$156.41at 0.002Will "Those Who Wish Me Dead" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
- +$153.03at 0.003Will "Instadocs: The Decoy Plane" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- +$142.05at 0.004Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 05:49 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.996 | $49.80 |
| 09-16 05:49 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.977 | $48.85 |
| 09-16 05:49 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-16 05:49 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.99 | $37.24 |
| 09-16 03:31 | Will September 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | BUY | 0.95 | $14.32 |
| 09-15 21:48 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.96 |
| 09-15 20:24 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 38.0 and 38.5 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-15 20:24 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 36.5 and 37.0 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.27 |
| 09-15 20:24 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 38.5 and 39.0 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-15 20:24 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37.0 and 37.5 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.27 |
| 09-15 20:24 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 36.0 and 36.5 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.91 |
| 09-15 20:24 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37.5 and 38.0 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-15 18:55 | Will "Turning Point: Generation 9/11" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $142.87 |
| 09-15 18:55 | Will "The Whisper Man" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.998 | $142.73 |
| 09-15 18:55 | Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $158.10 |