PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

luciebot

0x17dd123a0ad9675e6ed3155724a92b4632af944c

Realised P&L
$8.0k
Volume
$314.2k
Markets traded
9,176
Open portfolio
$505.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded9,176
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration66.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26? · Yes0.2000.955$23.88+$18.88
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1? · Yes0.0910.990$21.78+$19.78
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30? · Yes0.1430.915$18.29+$15.44
Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1? · Yes0.1350.830$18.28+$15.31
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0530.585$16.54+$15.06
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 2? · Yes0.0910.977$13.68+$12.41
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.1430.235$11.75+$4.61
Will PP win the most seats in Badajoz in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.0280.690$11.73+$11.26
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1? · Yes0.0910.997$9.97+$9.06
Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats? · Yes0.1000.978$9.78+$8.78
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0360.440$9.62+$8.84
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 1? · Yes0.0911.000$9.40+$8.54
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 27.5-30%? · Yes0.1670.895$8.95+$7.28
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26? · Yes0.0710.998$8.19+$7.60
Will PSOE win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.0280.280$7.00+$6.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:04Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 1?BUY0.998$25.95
11-01 23:04Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 1?BUY0.999$25.97
11-01 23:00Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 1?BUY0.98$3.24
11-01 23:00Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 1?BUY0.997$3.30
11-01 22:47Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on November 2?BUY0.991$4.96
11-01 22:47Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 2?BUY0.81$4.05
11-01 22:47Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 2?BUY0.92$4.60
11-01 22:47Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 2?BUY0.983$4.92
11-01 22:47Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 2?BUY0.999$5.00
11-01 22:28Will Jorge Martin win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?BUY0.965$8.14
11-01 22:28Will Marco Bezzecchi win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?BUY0.996$8.41
11-01 22:03Will Billie Eilish have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?BUY0.997$5.98
11-01 22:03Will Ariana Grande have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?BUY0.998$5.99
11-01 22:03Will Taylor Swift have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?BUY0.998$5.99
11-01 22:03Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?BUY0.997$5.98