0x82Fd563E9EAF46f4021F717b2b81F3CB95eE3b80-1765095664427
0x82fd563e9eaf46f4021f717b2b81f3cb95ee3b80
- Realised P&L
- $-19.93
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $48.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.54at 0.220Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$4.36at 0.821Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$3.89at 0.720S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?
- +$3.76at 0.210US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$2.73at 0.880US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:18 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 13:18 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0279999998 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 13:17 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1919999939 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 13:17 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0969999939 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:28 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.3137254902 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 05:28 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.0676321929 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:23 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:19 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 05:19 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0569999989 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:10 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 05:03 | GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5199999927 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 04:59 | Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 03:37 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31? | BUY | 0.4039999722 | $5.00 |
| 04-23 09:43 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.3139998216 | $1.00 |
| 04-23 08:49 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $20.00 |