PolyBot

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Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. Unchanged over the period, from 0.003. Range 0.003 to 0.003. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00599
0.009100109
0.010142251
0.012156407
0.018134541
0.019150691
0.02375766
0.026125891
0.03055946
0.0391651,111
0.0461501,261
0.047351,296

Spread0.004Mid0.003

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.001792792

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.999792792

Spread0.004Mid0.997

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99599
0.991100109
0.990142251
0.988156407
0.982134541
0.981150691
0.97775766
0.974125891
0.97055946
0.9611651,111
0.9541501,261
0.953351,296

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
wavesintheskyYes1,364.69
wing1234Yes884.03
LornaPredictsYes726.4
0xf555BBccF9549fA2Fb513140744dFBE0f057b2D5-1720199302797Yes386.44
2B9SYes249.8
2kparabellumYes231.63
AJSVYes202.62
donthackmeYes172.66
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256Yes150
jozeslemsekYes142
cry.eth2Yes135.88
0x56a8…eea2Yes120
AAA-BatteryYes115.92
balthazarYes111.91
0xe072eaD41fb084fBe009Be02248778b8962baF95-1780830715223Yes111.11
0x11b2…6d33Yes100
0xcaf6…5c89Yes100
vinyletherYes100
prognozuYes100
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:07:27BUYNo0.9995$5.00
06:07:17BUYNo0.9998$7.74
06:07:17BUYNo0.99924$24.04
06:07:17BUYNo0.99920$19.98
06:07:17BUYNo0.9997$6.99
06:07:17BUYNo0.99910$9.99
21:21:08BUYNo0.99910$9.99
20:53:54SELLYes0.0015$0.00
20:51:42BUYNo0.9995$4.99
20:51:41BUYYes0.001114$0.11
20:11:53BUYNo0.99932$32.16
08:56:31SELLYes0.00110$0.01
17:29:00SELLYes0.00120$0.02
14:40:09SELLYes0.0010$0.00
14:39:57SELLYes0.00110$0.01
14:38:07SELLYes0.00127$0.03
15:37:31BUYNo0.9993$3.00
15:20:33BUYNo0.9995$5.00
15:20:25BUYNo0.99920$19.98
15:20:03BUYNo0.99820$19.96
15:19:22BUYNo0.99710$9.97
15:53:45BUYNo0.99922$21.98
09:48:06BUYNo0.9997$6.99
17:05:43BUYNo0.99810$9.98
08:54:18BUYNo0.9997$6.99