PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

wing1234

0x02ae961846bcddb4bb74f7c866662b83ed11bad5

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$327.5k
Markets traded
797
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded797
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Blue wave in 2026? · No0.2260.200$202.14$26.03
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1380.115$201.95$40.52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.4510.405$145.80$16.70
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0290.041$137.24+$38.57
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0500.067$126.53+$32.21
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0140.032$116.40+$64.49
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? · No0.9240.974$97.35+$4.95
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16? · Yes0.8711.000$95.01+$12.30
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? · Yes0.0490.035$87.76$32.77
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? · Yes0.0420.029$82.49$34.60
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0110.011$60.12$0.89
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1220.125$52.50+$1.30
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0800.035$49.56$63.98
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1380.105$45.84$14.44
Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0830.069$45.16$9.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 10:222026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.42$21.00
09-16 10:212026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.42$21.00
09-16 06:01Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?BUY0.87$87.00
09-16 06:01Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?BUY0.84$8.40
09-16 04:06Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 16?SELL0.01$3.02
09-16 02:44Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 16?BUY0.02$0.20
09-16 02:36Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 16?SELL0.18$5.40
09-16 02:35Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 16?BUY0.03$5.13
09-16 02:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 16?BUY0.03$9.00
09-16 02:30Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 16?SELL0.0056688$1.13
09-15 06:05Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?BUY0.041$0.54
09-15 06:05Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?BUY0.039$1.44
09-15 06:05Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?BUY0.038$3.80
09-15 06:05Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?BUY0.037$3.70
09-15 06:05Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?BUY0.036$3.60