wing1234
0x02ae961846bcddb4bb74f7c866662b83ed11bad5
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $327.5k
- Markets traded
- 797
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded797
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$215.15at 0.114Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?
- +$182.40at 0.120Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
- +$147.19at 0.275Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
- +$88.50at 0.626Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5?
- +$83.36at 0.589Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 10:22 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.42 | $21.00 |
| 09-16 10:21 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.42 | $21.00 |
| 09-16 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 09-16 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 09-16 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.01 | $3.02 |
| 09-16 02:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 09-16 02:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.18 | $5.40 |
| 09-16 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.03 | $5.13 |
| 09-16 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.03 | $9.00 |
| 09-16 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.0056688 | $1.13 |
| 09-15 06:05 | Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? | BUY | 0.041 | $0.54 |
| 09-15 06:05 | Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.44 |
| 09-15 06:05 | Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? | BUY | 0.038 | $3.80 |
| 09-15 06:05 | Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? | BUY | 0.037 | $3.70 |
| 09-15 06:05 | Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? | BUY | 0.036 | $3.60 |